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Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

Let $(x_n)_{n=1}^\infty$ be a sequence of integers. We study the number variance of dilations $(\alpha x_n)_{n=1}^\infty$ modulo 1 in intervals of length $S$, and establish pseudorandom (Poissonian) behavior for Lebesgue-almost all $\alpha$…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Christoph Aistleitner , Nadav Yesha

We establish asymptotic normality of weighted sums of periodograms of a stationary linear process where weights depend on the sample size. Such sums appear in numerous statistical applications and can be regarded as a discretized versions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-18 Liudas Giraitis , Hira L. Koul

We study the asymptotic consistency properties of $\alpha$-R\'enyi approximate posteriors, a class of variational Bayesian methods that approximate an intractable Bayesian posterior with a member of a tractable family of distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Prateek Jaiswal , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

This paper is concerned with inference in the linear model with dyadic data. Dyadic data is data that is indexed by pairs of "units", for example trade data between pairs of countries. Because of the potential for observations with a unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Max Tabord-Meehan

In this work, we attempt to refine the classic asymptotic formulae to describe the probability distribution of likelihood-ratio statistical tests. The idea is to split the probability distribution function into two parts. One part is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-07-29 Li-Gang Xia , Yan Zhang

We obtain some new results concerning the small deviation problem for $S=\sum_n q^n X_n$ and $M=\sup_n q^n X_n$, where $0<q<1$ and $(X_n)$ are i.i.d. non-negative random variables. In particular, the asymptotics is shown to be the same for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Frank Aurzada

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

We provide non-asymptotic, relative deviation bounds for the eigenvalues of empirical covariance and Gram matrices in general settings. Unlike typical uniform bounds, which may fail to capture the behavior of smaller eigenvalues, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

The asymptotic distribution of a wide class of V- and U-statistics with estimated parameters is derived in the case when the kernel is not necessarily differentiable along the parameter. The results have their application in goodness-of-fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Marija Cuparić , Bojana Milošević , Marko Obradović

Doubly robust estimators have gained widespread popularity in various fields due to their ability to provide unbiased estimates under model misspecification. However, the asymptotic theory for doubly robust estimators with continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Andrew Ying

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone

Asymptotic expansions are derived for solutions of the parabolic cylinder and Weber differential equations. In addition the inhomogeneous versions of the equations are considered, for the case of polynomial forcing terms. The expansions…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-03-02 T. M. Dunster

Asymptotic expansions for a wide class of distribution are studied. A simple method for computation of the series coefficients is suggested. The case when regularization parameter of the distribution depends on the asymptotic parameter is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Vladimir K. Petrov

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Sharp large deviation results of Bahadur-Ranga Rao type are provided for the $q$-norm of random vectors distributed on the $\ell _{p}^{n}$-ball ${\mathbb{B}}^{n}_{p}$ according to the cone probability measure or the uniform distribution for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Tom Kaufmann

We obtain bivariate asymptotics for the number of (unicellular) combinatorial maps (a model of discrete surfaces) as both the size and the genus grow. This work is related to two research topics that have been very active recently:…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andrew Elvey Price , Wenjie Fang , Baptiste Louf , Michael Wallner

For a fixed number field $K$, we consider the mean square error in estimating the number of primes with norm congruent to $a$ modulo $q$ by the Chebotar\"ev Density Theorem when averaging over all $q\le Q$ and all appropriate $a$. Using a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-16 Ethan Smith

We construct asymptotic expansions for ordinary differential equations with highly oscillatory forcing terms, focussing on the case of multiple, non-commensurate frequencies. We derive an asymptotic expansion in inverse powers of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Marissa Condon , Alfredo Deano , Jing Gao , Arieh Iserles