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We investigate the mechanisms by which medium-frequency trading agents are adversely selected by opportunistic high-frequency traders. We use reinforcement learning (RL) within a Hawkes Limit Order Book (LOB) model in order to replicate the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-03 Ali Raza Jafree , Konark Jain , Nick Firoozye

High-frequency stock price prediction is challenging due to non-stationarity, noise, and volatility. To tackle these issues, we propose the Hybrid Attentive Ensemble Learning Transformer (HAELT), a deep learning framework combining a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Thanh Dan Bui

This study presents an autonomous experimental machine learning protocol for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting that involves a dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

Mid-price movement prediction based on limit order book (LOB) data is a challenging task due to the complexity and dynamics of the LOB. So far, there have been very limited attempts for extracting relevant features based on LOB data. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Adamantios Ntakaris , Giorgio Mirone , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Stock markets exhibit regime-dependent behavior where prediction models optimized for stable conditions often fail during volatile periods. Existing approaches typically treat all market states uniformly or require manual regime labeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

The deployment of autonomous AI agents in derivatives markets has widened a practical gap between static model calibration and realized hedging outcomes. We introduce two reinforcement learning frameworks, a novel Replication Learning of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Minxuan Hu , Ziheng Chen , Jiayu Yi , Wenxi Sun

High-frequency trading (HFT) that executes algorithmic trading in short time scales, has recently occupied the majority of cryptocurrency market. Besides traditional quantitative trading methods, reinforcement learning (RL) has become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Chuqiao Zong , Chaojie Wang , Molei Qin , Lei Feng , Xinrun Wang , Bo An

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 B. W. Wanjawa , L. Muchemi

The realm of High-Frequency Trading (HFT) is characterized by rapid decision-making processes that capitalize on fleeting market inefficiencies. As the financial markets become increasingly competitive, there is a pressing need for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Soumyadip Sarkar

Managing the prediction of metrics in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task. An efficient way is by monitoring the dynamics of a limit order book to identify the information edge. This paper describes the first publicly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Adamantios Ntakaris , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

This paper introduces a reinforcement learning framework that employs Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) to dynamically optimize the weights of multiple large language model (LLM)-generated formulaic alphas for stock trading strategies.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen , Hiroaki Kawashima

Stock price prediction is a challenging task, but machine learning methods have recently been used successfully for this purpose. In this paper, we extract over 270 hand-crafted features (factors) inspired by technical and quantitative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Multi-fidelity Reinforcement Learning (RL) frameworks significantly enhance the efficiency of engineering design by leveraging analysis models with varying levels of accuracy and computational costs. The prevailing methodologies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Akash Agrawal , Christopher McComb

We introduce the first end-to-end Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) based framework for active high frequency trading in the stock market. We train DRL agents to trade one unit of Intel Corporation stock by employing the Proximal Policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Antonio Briola , Jeremy Turiel , Riccardo Marcaccioli , Alvaro Cauderan , Tomaso Aste

High-frequency trading (HFT) represents a pivotal and intensely competitive domain within the financial markets. The velocity and accuracy of data processing exert a direct influence on profitability, underscoring the significance of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuxin Fan , Zhuohuan Hu , Lei Fu , Yu Cheng , Liyang Wang , Yuxiang Wang

In high-frequency trading (HFT), leveraging limit order books (LOB) to model stock price movements is crucial for achieving profitable outcomes. However, this task is challenging due to the high-dimensional and volatile nature of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Jiahao Yang , Ran Fang , Ming Zhang , Jun Zhou

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

High-frequency trading (HFT) uses computer algorithms to make trading decisions in short time scales (e.g., second-level), which is widely used in the Cryptocurrency (Crypto) market (e.g., Bitcoin). Reinforcement learning (RL) in financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Molei Qin , Shuo Sun , Wentao Zhang , Haochong Xia , Xinrun Wang , Bo An

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has the promise of providing data-driven support for decision-making in a wide range of problems in healthcare, education, business, and other domains. Classical RL methods focus on the mean of the total return…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Elynn Y. Chen , Rui Song , Michael I. Jordan
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