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We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We present a framework to derive risk bounds for vector-valued learning with a broad class of feature maps and loss functions. Multi-task learning and one-vs-all multi-category learning are treated as examples. We discuss in detail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-07 Andreas Maurer , Massimiliano Pontil

Risk measures for random vectors have been considered in multi-asset markets with transaction costs and financial networks in the literature. While the theory of set-valued risk measures provide an axiomatic framework for assigning to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Çağın Ararat , Zachary Feinstein

In this paper we consider the asymptotic distributions of functionals of the sample covariance matrix and the sample mean vector obtained under the assumption that the matrix of observations has a matrix-variate location mixture of normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Stepan Mazur , Nestor Parolya

Systemic risk is concerned with the instability of a financial system whose members are interdependent in the sense that the failure of a few institutions may trigger a chain of defaults throughout the system. Recently, several systemic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Çağın Ararat , Nurtai Meimanjan

For a multidimensional It\^o semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 José E. Figueroa-López , Jincheng Pang , Bei Wu

We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, non-binary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 Alexander V. Bulinski , Alexander S. Rakitko

In this paper, we propose a novel Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Optimization formulation to construct a risk score, where we optimize the logistic loss with sparsity constraints. Previous approaches are typically designed to handle binary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Cristina Molero-Río , Claudia D'Ambrosio

We provide a constructive way of defining new elicitable risk measures that are characterised by a multiplicative scoring function. We show that depending on the choice of the scoring function's components, the resulting risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Akif Ince , Marlon Moresco , Ilaria Peri , Silvana M. Pesenti

The field of analytic combinatorics is dedicated to the creation of effective techniques to study the large-scale behaviour of combinatorial objects. Although classical results in analytic combinatorics are mainly concerned with univariate…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Stephen Melczer , Tiadora Ruza

In this paper, we consider the problem of verifying safety constraint satisfaction for single-input single-output systems with uncertain transfer function coefficients. We propose a new type of barrier function based on a vector norm. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Binghan He , Gray C. Thomas , Luis Sentis

We provide a functional central limit theorem for a broad class of smooth functions for possibly noncausal multivariate linear processes with time-varying coefficients. Since the limiting processes depend on unknown quantities, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Carina Beering , Anne Leucht

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

Adaptive and interacting Markov Chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a novel class of non-Markovian algorithms aimed at improving the simulation efficiency for complicated target distributions. In this paper, we study a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

Let $(X_i,i\geq 1)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with values in $[0,1]$, and $f$ be a function such that $`E(f(X_1)^2)<+\infty$. We show a functional central limit theorem for the process $t\mapsto \sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i)1_{X_i\leq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Jean-François Marckert , David Renault

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

We show that a wide class of risk-constrained nonconvex functional optimization problems exhibit strong duality, regardless of nonconvexity. We develop two novel results under distinct sets of assumptions, establishing strong duality over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Dionysis Kalogerias , Spyridon Pougkakiotis

In this paper we will prove a functional central limit theorems for "nonconventional" sums indexed by polynomial arrays.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Yeor Hafouta

This paper deals simultaneously with linear structural and functional error-in-variables models (SEIVM and FEIVM), revisiting in this context generalized and modified least squares estimators of the slope and intercept, and some methods of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-20 Yuliya V. Martsynyuk
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