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We study the impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. stock market volatility. We jointly analyze three different structural oil market shocks (i.e., aggregate demand, oil supply, and oil-specific demand shocks) and stock market volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-15 Andrea Bastianin , Matteo Manera

In this paper we consider a simple two-patch model in which a population affected by a disease can freely move. We assume that the capacity of the interconnected paths is limited, and thereby influencing the migration rates. Possible…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Silvia Motto , Ezio Venturino

Existing research on the static effects of the manipulation of welfare program benefit parameters on labor supply has allowed only restrictive forms of heterogeneity in preferences. Yet preference heterogeneity implies that the marginal…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-08 Robert A. Moffitt , Matthew V. Zahn

In capitalist societies, only a single right can be fully exerted without constraints of any kind: the limitless accumulation of wealth. Such imperative or prime axiom is the ultimate cause of the raising waves of inequalities observed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-16 Iago Nascimento Barros , Marcelo Lobato Martins

This study evaluates ethanol blending as a practical near-term strategy for significant transportation decarbonization in the United States. Despite rapid growth in electric vehicle adoption, gasoline is projected to remain dominant, with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Eliseo Curcio

I examine whether the early but temporary availability of low-barrier employment opportunities in the hospitality sector affects the labor market integration of refugees. My identification strategy combines the quasi-exogenous allocation of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Felix Degenhardt

While climate-induced population migration has received rising attention, the role played by human climate endeavors remains underexplored. Here, we combine machine learning with attribution mapping to analyze the impacts of 4,713…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Chao Li , Xing Su , Chao Fan , Yang Li , Luping Li , Chunmo Zheng , Wenglong Chao , Leena Jarvi , Han Lin , Juan Tu

Countries tend to diversify their exports by entering products that are related to their current exports. Yet this average behavior is not representative of every diversification path. In this paper, we introduce a method to identify…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Flávio L. Pinheiro , Aamena Alshamsi , Dominik Hartmann , Ron Boschma , César A. Hidalgo

Using data on 17 listed public banks from Russia over the period 2008 to 2016, we analyze whether international oil prices affect the bank stability in an oil-dependent country. We posit that a decrease in international oil prices has a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Claudiu Albulescu

We consider extensive data on Spanish international trades and population composition and, through statistical-mechanics and graph-theory driven analysis, we unveil that the social network made of native and foreign-born individuals plays a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-02 Elena Agliari , Adriano Barra , Andrea Galluzzi , Francisco Requena-Silvente , Daniele Tantari

Push-pull theory, one of the most important macro theories in demography, argues that population migration is driven by a combination of push (repulsive) forces at the place of emigration and pull (attractive) forces at the place of…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-26 Jingwen Tan , Shixi Kang

I study how firms adjust to temporary disruptions in international trade relationships organized through relational contracts. I exploit an extreme, plausibly exogenous weather shock during the 2010-11 La Ni\~na season that restricted…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-26 Alejandra Martinez

The 2022 Russia Ukraine War has led to many sanctions being placed on Russia and Ukraine. The paper will discuss the impact the 2022 Russian Sanctions have on agricultural food prices and hunger. The paper also uses Instrumental Variable…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-20 Agni Rajinikanth

Nationwide lockdown for COVID-19 created an urgent demand for public transportation among migrant workers stranded at different parts of India to return to their native places. Arranging transportation could spike the number of COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-03 Avijit Maji , Tushar Choudhari , M. B. Sushma

Volatile driving, characterized by fluctuations in speed and accelerations and aggressive lane changing/merging, is known to contribute to transportation crashes. To fully understand driving volatility with the intention of reducing it, the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-24 Mohsen Kamrani , Ramin Arvin , Asad J. Khattak

We provide quantitative predictions of first order supply and demand shocks for the U.S. economy associated with the COVID-19 pandemic at the level of individual occupations and industries. To analyze the supply shock, we classify…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-21 R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Penny Mealy , Anton Pichler , Francois Lafond , Doyne Farmer

To prevent the spread of COVID-19, many cities, states, and countries have `locked down', restricting economic activities in non-essential sectors. Such lockdowns have substantially shrunk production in most countries. This study examines…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Hiroyasu Inoue , Yohsuke Murase , Yasuyuki Todo

Internal migration is an essential aspect to study labor mobility. I exploit the German statutory minimum wage introduction in 2015 to estimate its push and pull effects on internal migration using a 2% sample of administrative data. In a…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-01 Alexander Moog

Using global wheat trade data and a network model for shock propagation, we study the impact of the Ukrainian crisis on food security. Depending on the level of reduction in Ukrainian wheat exports, the number of additional individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-25 Jean Cyrus de Gourcuff , David Makowski , Philippe Ciais , Marc Barthelemy

This study examines how scale economies in the operation of shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) affect the efficiency of a transportation system where SAVs coexist with normal vehicles (NVs). We develop a bottleneck model where commuters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Koki Satsukawa , Yuki Takayama
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