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Related papers: Sample Complexity of Data-driven Multistage Stocha…

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We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

Multistage Stochastic Programming (MSP) is a class of models for sequential decision-making under uncertainty. MSP problems are known for their computational intractability due to the sequential nature of the decision-making structure and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Murwan Siddig , Yongjia Song , Amin Khademi

We develop a first-order (pseudo-)gradient approach for optimizing functions over the stationary distribution of discrete-time Markov chains (DTMC). We give insights into why solving this optimization problem is challenging and show how…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Nanne A. Dieleman , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

The modified Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is an iterative scheme for approximating solutions to stochastic control problems in continuous time based on Pontryagin Optimality Principle which, starting with an initial open loop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Deven Sethi , David Šiška

The Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is a statistical methodology used in a large number of applications. It uses repeated random sampling to solve problems with a probability interpretation to obtain high-quality numerical results. The MCS is…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Wei-Chang Yeh

One key challenge for solving a general stochastic optimization problem with expectations in the objective and constraint functions using ordinary stochastic iterative methods lies in the infeasibility issue caused by the randomness over…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Chencheng Ye , Ying Cui

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

In this work we investigate the practicality of stochastic gradient descent and recently introduced variants with variance-reduction techniques in imaging inverse problems. Such algorithms have been shown in the machine learning literature…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Junqi Tang , Karen Egiazarian , Mohammad Golbabaee , Mike Davies

We study the unconstrained and the minimax saddle point variants of the convex multi-stage stochastic programming problem, where consecutive decisions are coupled through the objective functions, rather than through the constraints. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Junhui Zhang , Patrick Jaillet

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Symbolic regression has recently gained traction in AI-driven scientific discovery, aiming to recover explicit closed-form expressions from data that reveal underlying physical laws. Despite recent advances, existing methods remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Bani K. Mallick

The Markov decision process (MDP) formulation used to model many real-world sequential decision making problems does not efficiently capture the setting where the set of available decisions (actions) at each time step is stochastic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Blossom Metevier , Philip S. Thomas

Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is challenging when the likelihood function is irregular and expensive to compute. We explore several sampling algorithms that make use of subset evaluations to reduce computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-16 Conor Rosato , Harvinder Lehal , Simon Maskell , Lee Devlin , Malcolm Strens

Stochastic parametrisations are used in weather and climate models to improve the representation of unpredictable unresolved processes. When compared to a deterministic model, a stochastic model represents `model uncertainty', i.e., sources…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Hannah M. Christensen

In this paper we present a novel probabilistic sampling-based motion planning algorithm called the Fast Marching Tree algorithm (FMT*). The algorithm is specifically aimed at solving complex motion planning problems in high-dimensional…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-02-09 Lucas Janson , Edward Schmerling , Ashley Clark , Marco Pavone

The Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is a fixed-point iterative method used to solve stochastic optimal control problems. It is an indirect method based on the conditions derived from the Stochastic Maximum Principle (SMP), an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Safouane Taoufik , Badr Missaoui

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

Recursive stochastic algorithms have gained significant attention in the recent past due to data driven applications. Examples include stochastic gradient descent for solving large-scale optimization problems and empirical dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Abhishek Gupta , Hao Chen , Jianzong Pi , Gaurav Tendolkar

The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference. Here we focus on Synthetic Likelihood (SL), a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-09 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Florian Hartig , Mark V. Bravington

In this work, we consider solving optimization problems with a stochastic objective and deterministic equality constraints. We propose a Trust-Region Sequential Quadratic Programming method to find both first- and second-order stationary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Yuchen Fang , Sen Na , Michael W. Mahoney , Mladen Kolar