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This paper presents a novel dynamic network autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model based on spatiotemporal ARCH models to forecast volatility in the US stock market. To improve the forecasting accuracy, the model…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-21 Raffaele Mattera , Philipp Otto

In the analysis of complex networks, centrality measures and community structures play pivotal roles. For multilayer networks, a critical challenge lies in effectively integrating information across diverse layers while accounting for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Zhuoye Han , Tiandong Wang , Zhiliang Ying

We develop a constructive approach to estimating sparse, high-dimensional linear regression models. The approach is a computational algorithm motivated from the KKT conditions for the $\ell_0$-penalized least squares solutions. It generates…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-19 Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Yanyan Liu , Xiliang Lu

Multivariate time-series modeling and forecasting is an important problem with numerous applications. Traditional approaches such as VAR (vector auto-regressive) models and more recent approaches such as RNNs (recurrent neural networks) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Hardik Goel , Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

We propose a joint order-based scoring framework for causal structure learning of directed acyclic graph (DAG) models under heterogeneous data settings. We show that leveraging heterogeneity improves the accuracy of causal ordering…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Hyunwoong Chang , Fariha Taskin

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

An accurate and efficient simulation of the hysteretic behavior of materials and components is essential for structural analysis. The surrogate model based on neural networks shows significant potential in balancing efficiency and accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yongjia Xu , Xinzheng Lu , Yifan Fei , Yuli Huang

This manuscript presents an approach to perform generalized linear regression with multiple high dimensional covariance matrices as the outcome. Model parameters are proposed to be estimated by maximizing a pseudo-likelihood. When the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Yi Zhao , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo

In this paper, we develop a graphical modeling framework for the inference of networks across multiple sample groups and data types. In medical studies, this setting arises whenever a set of subjects, which may be heterogeneous due to…

We propose a new class of models specifically tailored for spatio-temporal data analysis. To this end, we generalize the spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances, i.e. SARAR(1,1), by exploiting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Leopoldo Catania , Anna Gloria Billé

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Sequences of correlated binary patterns can represent many time-series data including text, movies, and biological signals. These patterns may be described by weighted combinations of a few dominant structures that underpin specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Jimmy Gaudreault , Arunabh Saxena , Hideaki Shimazaki

We develop a framework to track the structure of temporal networks with a signal processing approach. The method is based on the duality between networks and signals using a multidimensional scaling technique. This enables a study of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Ronan Hamon , Pierre Borgnat , Patrick Flandrin , Céline Robardet

Coded recurrent neural networks with three levels of sparsity are introduced. The first level is related to the size of messages, much smaller than the number of available neurons. The second one is provided by a particular coding rule,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-02-22 Vincent Gripon , Claude Berrou

Simultaneous variable selection and statistical inference is challenging in high-dimensional data analysis. Most existing post-selection inference methods require explicitly specified regression models, which are often linear, as well as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Shangyuan Ye , Shauna Rakshe , Ye Liang

Sparse recovery in linear systems underpins applications from signal processing to high-dimensional regression. Sparse Bayesian Learning, grounded in the principle of automatic relevance determination (ARD), offers a practical Bayesian…

Traditional neural networks (multi-layer perceptrons) have become an important tool in data science due to their success across a wide range of tasks. However, their performance is sometimes unsatisfactory, and they often require a large…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-09 Gyu Min Kim , Jeong Min Jeon

The autoregressive (AR) models, such as attention-based encoder-decoder models and RNN-Transducer, have achieved great success in speech recognition. They predict the output sequence conditioned on the previous tokens and acoustic encoded…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-06 Zhengkun Tian , Jiangyan Yi , Jianhua Tao , Ye Bai , Shuai Zhang , Zhengqi Wen , Xuefei Liu

Network datasets typically exhibit certain types of statistical dependencies, such as within-dyad correlation, row and column heterogeneity, and third-order dependence patterns such as transitivity and clustering. The first two of these can…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Peter D. Hoff