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Modeling responses on the nodes of a large-scale network is an important task that arises commonly in practice. This paper proposes a community network vector autoregressive (CNAR) model, which utilizes the network structure to characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-13 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

Matrix-valued time series data are frequently observed in a broad range of areas and have attracted great attention recently. In this work, we model network effects for high dimensional matrix-valued time series data in a matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Yanyuan Ma

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

A buffered double autoregressive (BDAR) time series model is proposed in this paper to depict the buffering phenomenon of conditional mean and conditional variance in time series. To build this model, a novel flexible regime switching…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-30 Zhao Liu

We study the dynamics of matrix-valued time series with observed network structures by proposing a matrix network autoregression model with row and column networks of the subjects. We incorporate covariate information and a low rank…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Xuening Zhu , Feifei Wang , Zeng Li , Yanyuan Ma

Multi-relational networks among entities are frequently observed in the era of big data. Quantifying the effects of multiple networks have attracted significant research interest recently. In this work, we model multiple network effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Yanyuan Ma

Autoregressive networks can achieve promising performance in many sequence modeling tasks with short-range dependence. However, when handling high-dimensional inputs and outputs, the huge amount of parameters in the network lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Di Wang , Feiqing Huang , Jingyu Zhao , Guodong Li , Guangjian Tian

Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis

We describe a method to construct directed networks from multivariate time series which has several advantages over the widely accepted methods. This method is based on an information theoretic reduction of linear (auto-regressive) models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-13 Toshihiro Tanizawa , Tomomichi Nakamura , Fumihiko Taya , Michael Small

Longitudinal data often involve heterogeneity, sparse signals, and contamination from response outliers or high-leverage observations especially in biomedical science. Existing methods usually address only part of this problem, either…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Yuyao Wang , Yu Lu , Tianni Zhang , Mengfei Ran

Autoregressive (AR) models remain widely used in time series analysis due to their interpretability, but convencional parameter estimation methods can be computationally expensive and prone to convergence issues. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Anaísa Lucena , Ana Martins , Armando J. Pinho , Sónia Gouveia

In data science, vector autoregression (VAR) models are popular in modeling multivariate time series in the environmental sciences and other applications. However, these models are computationally complex with the number of parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Zhihao Hu , Shyam Ranganathan , Yang Shao , Xinwei Deng

The Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) model, which predicts the current value of a time series based upon its previous values as well as the current and past values of multiple driving (exogenous) series, has been studied for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Yao Qin , Dongjin Song , Haifeng Chen , Wei Cheng , Guofei Jiang , Garrison Cottrell

Individuals or companies in a large social or financial network often display rather heterogeneous behaviors for various reasons. In this work, we propose a network vector autoregressive model with a latent group structure to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan

High-dimensional financial time series often exhibit complex dependence relations driven by both common market structures and latent connections among assets. To capture these characteristics, this paper proposes Factor-Driven Network…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Brendan Martin , Mihai Cucuringu , Alessandra Luati , Francesco Sanna Passino

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

For general panel data, by introducing network structure, network vector autoregressive (NVAR) model captured the linear inter dependencies among multiple time series. In this paper, we propose network vector autoregressive model for dyadic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-31 Jiajia Wang

We propose a recurrent extension of the Ladder networks whose structure is motivated by the inference required in hierarchical latent variable models. We demonstrate that the recurrent Ladder is able to handle a wide variety of complex…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Isabeau Prémont-Schwarz , Alexander Ilin , Tele Hotloo Hao , Antti Rasmus , Rinu Boney , Harri Valpola

We propose Network Automatic Relevance Determination (NARD), an extension of ARD for linearly probabilistic models, to simultaneously model sparse relationships between inputs $X \in \mathbb R^{d \times N}$ and outputs $Y \in \mathbb R^{m…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Hongwei Zhang , Ziqi Ye , Xinyuan Wang , Xin Guo , Zenglin Xu , Yuan Cheng , Zixin Hu , Yuan Qi
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