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We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Payment channel networks (PCNs) are a promising technology to improve the scalability of cryptocurrencies. PCNs, however, face the challenge that the frequent usage of certain routes may deplete channels in one direction, and hence prevent…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Mahsa Bastankhah , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali , Stefan Schmid , Jakub Svoboda , Michelle Yeo

Social networks allow rapid spread of ideas and innovations while the negative information can also propagate widely. When the cascades with different opinions reaching the same user, the cascade arriving first is the most likely to be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Guangmo Tong , Weili Wu , Ling Guo , Deying Li , Cong Liu , Bin Liu , Ding-Zhu Du

Program analysis tools often produce large volumes of candidate vulnerability reports that require costly manual review, creating a practical challenge: how can security analysts prioritize the reports most likely to be true…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Ronghao Ni , Aidan Z. H. Yang , Min-Chien Hsu , Nuno Sabino , Limin Jia , Ruben Martins , Darion Cassel , Kevin Cheang

Money laundering is a major global problem, enabling criminal organisations to hide their ill-gotten gains and to finance further operations. Prevention of money laundering is seen as a high priority by many governments, however detection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-08-03 David Savage , Qingmai Wang , Pauline Chou , Xiuzhen Zhang , Xinghuo Yu

Gas is the transaction-fee metering system of the Ethereum network. Users of the network are required to select a gas price for submission with their transaction, creating a risk of overpaying or delayed/unprocessed transactions in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Conall Butler , Martin Crane

Terrorism has become a worldwide plague with severe consequences for the development of nations. Besides killing innocent people daily and preventing educational activities from taking place, terrorism is also hindering economic growth.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Lossan Bonde , Severin Dembele

Blockchain technology supports the generation and record of transactions, and maintains the fairness and openness of the cryptocurrency system. However, many fraudsters utilize smart contracts to create fraudulent Ponzi schemes for…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Jie Jin , Jiajun Zhou , Chengxiang Jin , Shanqing Yu , Ziwan Zheng , Qi Xuan

Bitcoin is firmly becoming a mainstream asset in our global society. Its highly volatile nature has traders and speculators flooding into the market to take advantage of its significant price swings in the hope of making money. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Nathan Crone , Eoin Brophy , Tomas Ward

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi

The Ponzi scheme, an old-fashioned fraud, is now popular on the Ethereum blockchain, causing considerable financial losses to many crypto investors. A few Ponzi detection methods have been proposed in the literature, most of which detect a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Phuong Duy Huynh , Son Hoang Dau , Xiaodong Li , Phuc Luong , Emanuele Viterbo

Recent studies in big data analytics and natural language processing develop automatic techniques in analyzing sentiment in the social media information. In addition, the growing user base of social media and the high volume of posts also…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Xin Huang , Wenbin Zhang , Xuejiao Tang , Mingli Zhang , Jayachander Surbiryala , Vasileios Iosifidis , Zhen Liu , Ji Zhang

Cryptocurrency off-chain networks such as Lightning (e.g., Bitcoin) or Raiden (e.g., Ethereum) aim to increase the scalability of traditional on-chain transactions. To support nodes in learning about possible paths to route their…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Utz Nisslmueller , Klaus-Tycho Foerster , Stefan Schmid , Christian Decker

Bitcoin is the first digital decentralized cryptocurrency that has shown a significant increase in market capitalization in recent years. The objective of this paper is to determine the predictable price direction of Bitcoin in USD by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 S M Raju , Ali Mohammad Tarif

The automated detection of conspiracy theories online typically relies on supervised learning. However, creating respective training data requires expertise, time and mental resilience, given the often harmful content. Moreover, available…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Milena Pustet , Elisabeth Steffen , Helena Mihaljević

Cryptocurrencies' values often respond aggressively to major policy changes, but none of the existing indices informs on the market risks associated with regulatory changes. In this paper, we quantify the risks originating from new…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-25 Xinwen Ni , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Taojun Xie

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

In modern times, the cryptocurrency market is one of the world's most rapidly rising financial markets. The cryptocurrency market is regarded to be more volatile and illiquid than traditional markets such as equities, foreign exchange, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Anika Tahsin Meem

LLM-based financial agents increasingly rely on both numerical market data and textual signals for sequential trading and stock prediction. However, financial misinformation often appears as subtle textual perturbations rather than explicit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Zhiwei Liu , Yangyang Yu , Yupeng Cao , Yuechen Jiang , Haohang Li , Zhuoran Lu , Yuyan Wang , Yixiang Zheng , Xiaorui Guo , Calvin Yixiang Cheng , Sophia Ananiadou

Developing algorithms to differentiate between machine-generated texts and human-written texts has garnered substantial attention in recent years. Existing methods in this direction typically concern an offline setting where a dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Can Chen , Jun-Kun Wang