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The replacement of indicator functions by integrated beta kernels in the definition of the empirical stable tail dependence function is shown to produce a smoothed version of the latter estimator with the same asymptotic distribution but…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Laleh Tafakori

Several objects in the Extremes literature are special instances of max-stable random sup-measures. This perspective opens connections to the theory of random sets and the theory of risk measures and makes it possible to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Ilya Molchanov , Kirstin Strokorb

This paper introduces a new class of Cox models for dependent bivariate data. The impact of the covariate on the dependence of the variables is captured through the modification of their copula. Various classes of well known copulas are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Mohamed Achibi , Michel Broniatowski

In the study of extremes, the presence of asymptotic independence signifies that extreme events across multiple variables are probably less likely to occur together. Although well-understood in a bivariate context, the concept remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

The class of Archimax copulas is generalized to hierarchical Archimax copulas in two ways. First, a hierarchical construction of $d$-norm generators is introduced to construct hierarchical stable tail dependence functions which induce a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Marius Hofert , Raphael Huser , Avinash Prasad

We provide exact large-time equivalents of the density and upper tail distributions of the exponential functional of a subordinator in terms of its Laplace exponents. This improves previous results on the logarithmic asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Bénédicte Haas

Rank-based dependence measures such as Spearman's footrule are robust and invariant, but they often fail to capture directional or asymmetric dependence in multivariate settings. This paper introduces a new family of directional Spearman's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Enrique de Amo , David García-Fernández , Manuel Úbeda-Flores

This paper introduces a class of copula models for spatial data, based on multivariate Pareto-mixture distributions. We explore the tail properties of these models, demonstrating their ability to capture both tail dependence and asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Pavel Krupskii

We develop a novel characterization of extremal dependence between two cortical regions of the brain when its signals display extremely large amplitudes. We show that connectivity in the tails of the distribution reveals unique features of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Mara Sherlin Talento , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser , Hernando Ombao

Copulas have become an important tool in the modern best practice Enterprise Risk Management, often supplanting other approaches to modelling stochastic dependence. However, choosing the `right' copula is not an easy task, and the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-10 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

A distinctive feature of quadrupeds that is integral to their locomotion is the tail. Tails serve many purposes in biological systems including propulsion, counterbalance, and stabilization while walking, running, climbing, or jumping.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Josh Buckley , Yasemin Ozkan-Aydin

The present contribution derives an explicit expression for (a version of) every uni- and multi-variate conditional distribution (i.e., Markov kernel) of Archimedean copulas and uses this representation to generalize a recently established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Thimo Maria Kasper

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We prove a Tauberian theorem for the Laplace--Stieltjes transform and Karamata-type theorems in the framework of regularly log-periodic functions. As an application we determine the exact tail behavior of fixed points of certain type…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Peter Kevei

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

Liouville copulas, which were introduced in McNeil and Neslehova (2010), are asymmetric generalizations of the ubiquitous Archimedean copula class. They are the dependence structures of scale mixtures of Dirichlet distributions, also called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Léo R. Belzile , Johanna G. Nešlehová

The tail correlation function (TCF) is one of the most popular bivariate extremal dependence measures that has entered the literature under various names. We study to what extent the TCF can distinguish between different classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Kirstin Strokorb , Felix Ballani , Martin Schlather

While there is substantial need for dependence models in higher dimensions, most existing models quickly become rather restrictive and barely balance parsimony and flexibility. Hierarchical constructions may improve on that by grouping…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-11 Eike Christian Brechmann

We introduce the notion of multiple extremal integrals as an extension of single extremal integrals, which have played important roles in extreme value theory. The multiple extremal integrals are formulated in terms of a product-form random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Shuyang Bai , Jiemiao Chen

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn
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