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The topics treated in this thesis are inherently two-fold. The first part considers the problem of a market maker optimally setting bid/ask quotes over a finite time horizon, to maximize her expected utility. The intensities of the orders…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Diego Zabaljauregui

Prediction models are traditionally optimized independently from their use in the asset allocation decision-making process. We address this shortcoming and present a framework for integrating regression prediction models in a mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-01 Andrew Butler , Roy H. Kwon

In this paper we are interested in a new type of {\it mean-field}, non-Markovian stochastic control problems with partial observations. More precisely, we assume that the coefficients of the controlled dynamics depend not only on the paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Rainer Buckdahn , Juan Li , Jin Ma

For noncooperative games the mean field (MF) methodology provides decentralized strategies which yield Nash equilibria for large population systems in the asymptotic limit of an infinite (mass) population. The MF control laws use only the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-10-22 Arman C. Kizilkale , Peter E. Caines

We consider an SPDE description of a large portfolio limit model where the underlying asset prices evolve according to certain stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower barrier. The asset prices and their volatilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

This paper investigates a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem with the following features: (i) a no-short selling constraint; (ii) a leverage constraint, that is, an upper limit for the sum of portfolio weights; and (iii) a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Masashi Ieda

In this paper, we revisit the relationship between investors' utility functions and portfolio allocation rules. We derive portfolio allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed $ALD(\mu,\sigma,\kappa)$ returns and compare them with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Learning and optimal control under robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) have received increasing attention, yet most existing theory, algorithms, and applications focus on finite-horizon or discounted models. Long-run average-reward…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Shengbo Wang , Nian Si

We study a class of mean-field control problems under partial observation. The controlled dynamics are of McKean-Vlasov type and are subject to regime switching driven by a hidden Markov chain. The observation process depends on the control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Marco Fuhrman , Huyên Pham , Silvia Ruda

This article introduces a novel dynamic framework to Bayesian model averaging for time-varying parameter quantile regressions. By employing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo, we combine empirical estimates derived from dynamically chosen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Mauro Bernardi , Roberto Casarin , Bertrand Maillet , Lea Petrella

In intertemporal settings, the multiattribute utility theory of Kihlstrom and Mirman suggests the application of a concave transform of the lifetime utility index. This construction, while allowing time and risk attitudes to be separated,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-07 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Sascha Desmettre , Yevhen Havrylenko , Mogens Steffensen

This paper considers a newly delayed reinsurance and investment optimization problem incorporating random risk aversion, in which an insurer pursues maximization of the expected certainty equivalent of her/his terminal wealth and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Jian-hao Kang , Zhun Gou , Nan-jing Huang

In this paper, we attempt to introduce the Bellman principle for a discrete time multi-period mean-variance model. Based on this new take on the Bellman principle, we obtain a dynamic time-consistent optimal strategy and related efficient…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Shuzhen Yang

This paper studies the multi-period mean-variance portfolio allocation problem with transaction costs. Many methods have been proposed these last years to challenge the famous uni-period Markowitz strategy.But these methods cannot integrate…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Areski Cousin , Jérôme Lelong , Tom Picard

We study a variant of a recently introduced min-max optimization framework where the max-player is constrained to update its parameters in a greedy manner until it reaches a first-order stationary point. Our equilibrium definition for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Vijay Keswani , Oren Mangoubi , Sushant Sachdeva , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

The discrete-time mean-variance portfolio selection formulation, a representative of general dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection problems, does not satisfy time consistency in efficiency (TCIE) in general, i.e., a truncated pre-committed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Xiangyu Cui , Duan Li , Xun Li

In this paper, new results in random matrix theory are derived which allow us to construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio when the shrinkage target is a random object. More specifically, the shrinkage…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsen

The methodology developed in this article is motivated by a wide range of prediction and uncertainty quantification problems that arise in Statistics, Machine Learning and Applied Mathematics, such as non-parametric regression, multi-class…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Victor Chen , Matthew M. Dunlop , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Andrew M. Stuart

This paper proposes a new formulation for the dynamic resource allocation problem, which converts the traditional MDP model with known parameters and no capacity constraints to a new model with uncertain parameters and a resource capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Onur Demiray , Evrim Didem Güneş , Lerzan Örmeci
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