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Theoretical ecologists have long sought to understand how the persistence of populations depends on biotic and abiotic factors. Classical work showed that demographic stochasticity causes the mean time to extinction to increase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Otso Ovaskainen , Baruch Meerson

Immigration can rescue local populations from extinction, helping to stabilise a metapopulation. Local population dynamics is important for determining the strength of this rescue effect, but the mechanistic link between local demographic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-24 A. Eriksson , F. Elias Wolff , B. Mehlig , A. Manica

Finite-size fluctuations arising in the dynamics of competing populations may have dramatic influence on their fate. As an example, in this article, we investigate a model of three species which dominate each other in a cyclic manner.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-20 Tobias Reichenbach , Mauro Mobilia , Erwin Frey

Phenotypic plasticity and its evolution may help evolutionary rescue in a novel and stressful environment, especially if environmental novelty reveals cryptic genetic variation that enables the evolution of increased plasticity. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-23 Jaime Ashander , Luis-Miguel Chevin , Marissa L. Baskett

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

Environmental stochasticity is known to be a destabilizing factor, increasing abundance fluctuations and extinction rates of populations. However, the stability of a community may benefit from the differential response of species to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-10 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb , Sandro Azaele , William E. Kunin , David A. Kessler

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Spatial structure and species interactions jointly shape the dynamics and biodiversity of ecological systems, yet most theoretical models either neglect spatial heterogeneity or sacrifice analytical tractability. Here, we provide a unified…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Davide Bernardi , Alice Doimo , Giorgio Nicoletti , Prajwal Padmanabha , Andrea Rinaldo , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

We study how environmental stochasticity influences the long-term population size in certain one- and two-species models. The difficulty is that even when one can prove that there is persistence, it is usually impossible to say anything…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

In this work we address the analysis of discrete-time models of structured metapopulations subject to environmental stochasticity. Previous works on these models made use of the fact that migrations between the patches can be considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

Evolutionary game theory has traditionally employed deterministic models to describe population dynamics. These models, due to their inherent nonlinearities, can exhibit deterministic chaos, where population fluctuations follow complex,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-02 Maria Alejandra Ramirez , George Datseris , Arne Traulsen

We study the influence of stochastic effects due to finite population size in the evolutionary dynamics of populations interacting in the multi-person Prisoner's Dilemma game. This paper is an extension of the investigation presented in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Anders Eriksson , Kristian Lindgren

The persistence of populations depends on the minimum habitat area required for survival, known as the critical patch size. While most studies assume purely diffusive movement, additional movement components can significantly alter habitat…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-11 Luiz Menon , Pablo de Castro , Celia Anteneodo

Demographic stochasticity is important in determining extinction risks of small populations, but it is largely unknown how its effect depends on the life histories of species. We modeled effects of demographic stochasticity on extinction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-19 Tobias Jeppsson , Pär Forslund

Heterogeneities in environmental conditions often induce corresponding heterogeneities in the distribution of species. In the extreme case of a localized patch of increased growth rates, reproducing populations can become strongly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-17 Lukas Geyrhofer , Oskar Hallatschek

Frequency dependent selection and demographic fluctuations play important roles in evolutionary and ecological processes. Under frequency dependent selection, the average fitness of the population may increase or decrease based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-23 Weini Huang , Christoph Hauert , Arne Traulsen

Identifying the critical domain size necessary for a population to persist is an important question in ecology. Both demographic and environmental stochasticity impact a population's ability to persist. Here we explore ways of including…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-22 Jody R. Reimer , Michael B. Bonsall , Philip K. Maini

We study a variant of Hanski's incidence function model that allows habitat patch characteristics to vary over time following a Markov process. The widely studied case where patches are classified as either suitable or unsuitable is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , Y. S. Chan

Understanding the time evolution of fragmented animal populations and their habitats, connected by migration, is a problem of both theoretical and practical interest. This paper presents a method for calculating the time evolution of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-04 Anders Eriksson

Conventional wisdom suggests that environmental noise drives populations toward extinction. In contrast, we report a paradoxical phenomenon in which stochasticity reverses a deterministic tipping point, thereby preventing collapse. Using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Vinesh Vijayan , B Priyadharshini , R Sathish Kumar , G Janaki
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