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Accurate wave height prediction is critical for maritime safety and coastal resilience, yet conventional physics-based models and traditional machine learning methods face challenges in computational efficiency and nonlinear dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yilin Zhai , Hongyuan Shi , Chao Zhan , Qing Wang , Zaijin You , Nan Wang

Global AI weather forecasting still relies mainly on uniform-resolution models, making it hard to combine regional refinement, two-way regional-global coupling, and affordable training cost. We introduce StretchCast, a global-regional AI…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Jin Feng

In-situ ocean wave observations are critical to improve model skill and validate remote sensing wave measurements. Historically, such observations are extremely sparse due to the large costs and complexity of traditional wave buoys and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Pieter B. Smit , Isabel A. Houghton , Kalina Jordanova , Thomas Portwood , Evan Shapiro , David Clark , Michael Sosa , Tim T. Janssen

Planetary Climate Models (PCMs) are developed to explore planetary climates other than the Earth. Therefore, the methods implemented need to be suitable for a large diversity of conditions. Every planet with a significant atmosphere has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-05 João M. Mendonça

Currently, the technique of numerical model-based atmospheric environment forecasting has becoming mature, yet traditional numerical prediction methods struggle to balance computational costs and forecast accuracy, facing developmental…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-29 Shengxuan Ji , Yawei Qu , Cheng Yuan , Tijian Wang , Bing Liu , Lili Zhu , Huihui Zheng , Zhenfeng Qiu , Pulong Chen

Sea surface temperature (SST) is uniquely important to the Earth's atmosphere since its dynamics are a major force in shaping local and global climate and profoundly affect our ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of SST brings significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Xiaohan Li , Gaowei Zhang , Kai Huang , Zhaofeng He

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

A~machine learning framework is developed to estimate ocean-wave conditions. By supervised training of machine learning models on many thousands of iterations of a physics-based wave model, accurate representations of significant wave…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Scott C. James , Yushan Zhang , Fearghal O'Donncha

Accurately forecasting Arctic sea ice from subseasonal to seasonal scales has been a major scientific effort with fundamental challenges at play. In addition to physics-based earth system models, researchers have been applying multiple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-09 Sahara Ali , Yiyi Huang , Xin Huang , Jianwu Wang

Machine learning (ML) models have become increasingly valuable in weather forecasting, providing forecasts that not only lower computational costs but often match or exceed the accuracy of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-12 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Xu Fan , Wenxu Qian , Jun Liu , Hao Li

In this study we develop an alternative way to model the ocean reflecting the chaotic nature of ocean flows and uncertainty of ocean models -- instead of making use of classical deterministic or stochastic differential equations we offer a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-20 Igor Shevchenko , Pavel Berloff

Ocean dynamics are inherently chaotic, yet existing machine learning ocean models produce only deterministic forecasts. We introduce Njord, a probabilistic data-driven model for ocean forecasting, applicable to both global and regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Daniel Holmberg , Joel Oskarsson , Erik Larsson , Fredrik Lindsten , Teemu Roos

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are key sources of subseasonal predictability and major drivers of extreme weather in winter. Accurate and efficient probabilistic forecasting of these events remains a persistent challenge for Numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Ningning Tao , Fei Xie , Baoxiang Pan , Hongyu Wang , Han Huang , Zhongpu Qiu , Ke Gui , Jiali Luo , Xiaosong Chen

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok

During the era of global warming and highly urbanized development, extreme and high impact weather as well as air pollution incidents influence everyday life and might even cause the incalculable loss of life and property. Although with the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-05 Jun Gu , Jiawang Feng , Xiaoyu Hao , Tao Fang , Chun Zhao , Hong An , Junshi Chen , Mingyue Xu , Jian Li , Wenting Han , Chao Yang , Fang Li , Dexun Chen

Hurricane track forecasting remains a significant challenge due to the complex interactions between the atmosphere, land, and ocean. Although AI-based numerical weather prediction models, such as Google Graphcast operation, have…

The prediction of ship trajectories is a growing field of study in artificial intelligence. Traditional methods rely on the use of LSTM, GRU networks, and even Transformer architectures for the prediction of spatio-temporal series. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Nicolas Drapier , Aladine Chetouani , Aurélien Chateigner

The operational reliability of a high performance marine vessel depends critically on the health of its marine propulsion systems, which are increasingly subjected to diverse operational loads and environmental stressors. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-27 Y. Harsha Vardhana Reddy , Soumyendu Raha

Long-horizon vessel trajectory forecasting under real ocean conditions is critical for collision avoidance, traffic management, and route planning. However, achieving accurate predictions is challenging due to long-range temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ganeshaaraj Gnanavel , Tharindu Fernando , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs) in the ocean environment, considering various spatiotemporal factors such as ocean currents and other energy consumption factors. The paper uses Gaussian Process Motion Planning (GPMP2), a Bayesian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Behzad Akbari , Ya-Jun Pan , Shiwei Liu , Tianye Wang
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