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Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are essential for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in sectors such as shipping, aquaculture, environmental monitoring, and coastal risk management. Traditional numerical solvers,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Italo Epicoco , Teemu Roos

This paper addresses the challenge of boosting the precision of multi-path long-term vessel trajectory forecasting on engineered sequences of Automatic Identification System (AIS) data using feature fusion for problem shifting. We have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Gabriel Spadon , Jay Kumar , Derek Eden , Josh van Berkel , Tom Foster , Amilcar Soares , Ronan Fablet , Stan Matwin , Ronald Pelot

In the past few years, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based weather forecasting methods have widely demonstrated strong competitiveness among the weather forecasting systems. However, these methods are insufficient for high-spatial-resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Xujun Wei , Feng Zhang , Renhe Zhang , Wenwen Li , Cuiping Liu , Bin Guo , Jingwei Li , Haoyang Fu , Xu Tang

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are vital for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in environmental management and climate adaptation strategies. Traditional numerical solvers, while effective, are computationally…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-21 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Teemu Roos

Sea ice plays an important role in stabilising the Earth system. Yet, representing its dynamics remains a major challenge for models, as the underlying processes are scale-invariant and highly anisotropic. This poses a dilemma:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Pierre Rampal , Charlotte Durand , Flavia Porro , Alban Farchi , Alberto Carrassi

Artificial intelligence is transforming the sciences, yet general conversational AI systems often generate unverified "hallucinations" undermining scientific rigor. We present OceanAI, a conversational platform that integrates the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Bowen Chen , Jayesh Gajbhar , Gregory Dusek , Rob Redmon , Patrick Hogan , Paul Liu , DelWayne Bohnenstiehl , Dongkuan Xu , Ruoying He

Aerosol forecasting is essential for air quality warnings, health risk assessment, and climate change mitigation. However, it is more complex than weather forecasting due to the intricate interactions between aerosol physicochemical…

Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable. We reformulate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Matteo Peduto , Qidong Yang , Jonathan Giezendanner , Devis Tuia , Sherrie Wang

We introduce OceanGym, the first comprehensive benchmark for ocean underwater embodied agents, designed to advance AI in one of the most demanding real-world environments. Unlike terrestrial or aerial domains, underwater settings present…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Yida Xue , Mingjun Mao , Xiangyuan Ru , Yuqi Zhu , Baochang Ren , Shuofei Qiao , Mengru Wang , Shumin Deng , Xinyu An , Ningyu Zhang , Ying Chen , Huajun Chen

Research on data-driven ocean models has progressed rapidly in recent years; however, the application of these models to global eddy-resolving ocean forecasting remains limited. The accurate representation of ocean dynamics across a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuta Hirabayashi , Daisuke Matusoka , Konobu Kimura

Machine learning emulators have shown extraordinary skill in forecasting atmospheric states, and their application to global ocean dynamics offers similar promise. Here, we adapt the GraphCast architecture into a dedicated ocean-only…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Niraj Agarwal , Timothy A. Smith , Sergey Frolov , Laura C. Slivinski

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for hydrological applications, especially in the Global South where ground-based observation networks are sparse and forecasting skill is limited. Existing satellite-based precipitation products…

The accumulated remote sensing data of altimeters and scatterometers have provided a new opportunity to forecast the ocean states and improve the knowledge in ocean/atmosphere exchanges. Few previous studies have focused on sea level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Guosong Wang , Xidong Wang , Xinrong Wu , Kexiu Liu , Yiquan Qi , Chunjian Sun , Hongli Fu

Short-term ocean forecast skill depends strongly on the three-dimensional ocean structure of the upper ocean, which governs stratification, subsurface heat storage, and the response of the ocean to atmospheric forcing. However, AI ocean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sensen Wu , Yifan Chen , Guantao Pu , Xiaoyao Sun , Yijun Chen , Jin Qi , Ming Kong , Keyi Yang , Lichen Xu , Wenguan Wang , Xiaofeng Li , Zhenhong Du

Long-term, high-fidelity simulation of slow-changing physical systems, such as the ocean and climate, presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing. Traditional autoregressive machine learning models often fail in these tasks as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Fan Xu , Yanfei Xiang , Ruijian Gou , Ruiqi Shu , Qingsong Wen , Xian Wu , Kun Wang , Xiaomeng Huang

This paper presents a novel spatio-temporal LSTM (SPATIAL) architecture for time series forecasting applied to environmental datasets. The framework was evaluated across multiple sensors and for three different oceanic variables: current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-27 Yihao Hu , Fearghal O'Donncha , Paulito Palmes , Meredith Burke , Ramon Filgueira , Jon Grant

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technologies, particularly in recent years, has led to the emergence of several large parameter artificial intelligence weather forecast models. These models represent a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Fenghua Ling , Lin Ouyang , Boufeniza Redouane Larbi , Jing-Jia Luo , Tao Han , Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Bai

The advent of Large Weather Models (LWMs) has marked a turning point in data-driven forecasting, with many models now outperforming traditional numerical systems in the medium range. However, achieving stable, long-range autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Minjong Cheon

Ocean forecasting is critical for various applications and is essential for understanding air-sea interactions, which contribute to mitigating the impacts of extreme events. State-of-the-art ocean numerical forecasting systems can offer…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Guosong Wang , Min Hou , Mingyue Qin , Xinrong Wu , Zhigang Gao , Guofang Chao , Xiaoshuang Zhang