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Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

In this study, annual runoff is estimated by using a Bayesian geostatistical model for interpolation of hydrological data of different spatial support. That is, streamflow observations from catchments (areal data), and precipitation and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-10 Thea Roksvåg , Ingelin Steinsland , Kolbjørn Engeland

Air pollution is a great concern because of its impact on human health and on the environment. Statistical models play an important role in improving knowledge of this complex spatio-temporal phenomenon and in supporting public agencies and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-17 Michela Cameletti , Rosaria Ignaccolo , Stefano Bande

In air pollution studies, dispersion models provide estimates of concentration at grid level covering the entire spatial domain, and are then calibrated against measurements from monitoring stations. However, these different data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-17 Chiara Forlani , Samir Bhatt , Michela Cameletti , Elias Krainski , Marta Blangiardo

A key challenge in environmental health research is unmeasured spatial confounding, driven by unobserved spatially structured variables that influence both treatment and outcome. A common approach is to fit a spatial regression that models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Sophie M. Woodward , Francesca Dominici , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Obtaining high-resolution maps of precipitation data can provide key insights to stakeholders to assess a sustainable access to water resources at urban scale. Mapping a nonstationary, sparse process such as precipitation at very high…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Jiachen Zhang , Matthew Bonas , Diogo Bolster , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Stefano Castruccio

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

For civil structures, structural damage due to severe loading events such as earthquakes, or due to long-term environmental degradation, usually occurs in localized areas of a structure. A new sparse Bayesian probabilistic framework for…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-02 Yong Huang , James L. Beck

Misclassified variables used in regression models, either as a covariate or as the response, may lead to biased estimators and incorrect inference. Even though Bayesian models to adjust for misclassification error exist, it has not been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Emma Skarstein , Leonardo Soares Bastos , Håvard Rue , Stefanie Muff

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Two-stage hierarchical models have been widely used in small area estimation to produce indirect estimates of areal means. When the areas are treated exchangeably and the model parameters are assumed to be the same over all areas, we might…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-10 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Yuki Kawakubo , Kota Ogasawara

AI models have garnered significant research attention towards predictive task automation. However, a stationary training environment is an underlying assumption for most models and such models simply do not work on non-stationary data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Hassan Wasswa , Aziida Nanyonga , Timothy Lynar

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian Graphical LASSO for correlated countable data and apply it to spatial crime data. In the proposed model, we assume a Gaussian Graphical Model for the latent variables which dominate the potential risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-08 Sho Ichigozaki , Takahiro Kawashima , Hayaru Shouno

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

School accountability systems increasingly hold schools to account for their performances using value-added models purporting to measure the effects of schools on student learning. The most common approach is to fit a linear regression of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-17 George Leckie , Lucy Prior

Air pollution remains a critical environmental and public health challenge, demanding high-resolution spatial data to better understand its spatial distribution and impacts. This study addresses the challenges of conducting multivariate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Erick A. Chacón-Montalván , Paula Moraga

International large-scale assessments (ILSAs) play an important role in educational research and policy making. They collect valuable data on education quality and performance development across many education systems, giving countries the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-16 Zilong Xie , Yunxiao Chen , Matthias von Davier , Haolei Weng

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

Ageing societies face increasing strain on formal and informal care systems, particularly in low-density mountainous municipalities where sparse services and steep terrain constrain access. This study presents a spatially explicit…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Roberto garrone

The availability of data from multiple heterogeneous environments has motivated methods that remain reliable under distributional shifts. When the joint distribution of response and predictors varies across environments, the response may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Ruqian Zhang , Juan Shen , Yijiao Zhang