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Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

A stochastic data-driven reduced-order model applicable to a wide range of turbulent natural and engineering flows is presented. Combining ideas from Koopman theory and spectral model order reduction, the stochastic low-dimensional inflated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-07 Tianyi Chu , Oliver T. Schmidt

We show that typical behaviors of market participants at the high frequency scale generate leverage effect and rough volatility. To do so, we build a simple microscopic model for the price of an asset based on Hawkes processes. We encode in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 El Euch Omar , Fukasawa Masaaki , Rosenbaum Mathieu

Managing the prediction of metrics in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task. An efficient way is by monitoring the dynamics of a limit order book to identify the information edge. This paper describes the first publicly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Adamantios Ntakaris , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

We analyze an optimal trade execution problem in a financial market with stochastic liquidity. To this end we set up a limit order book model in continuous time. Both order book depth and resilience are allowed to evolve randomly in time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Julia Ackermann , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

This paper studies inter-trade durations in the NASDAQ limit order market and finds that inter-trade durations in ultra-high frequency have two modes. One mode is to the order of approximately 10^{-4} seconds, and the other is to the order…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-03 Zhicheng Li , Haipeng Xing , Xinyun Chen

We propose a limit order book (LOB) model with dynamics that account for both the impact of the most recent order and the shape of the LOB. We present an empirical analysis showing that the type of the last order significantly alters the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Federico Gonzalez , Mark Schervish

We analyze the statistics of daily price change of stock market in the framework of a statistical physics model for the collective fluctuation of stock portfolio. In this model the time series of price changes are coded into the sequences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jun-ichi Maskawa

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jakša Cvitanić , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

We introduce a new model in order to describe the fluctuation of tick-by-tick financial time series. Our model, based on marked point process, allows us to incorporate in a unique process the duration of the transaction and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-21 Alexis Fauth , Ciprian A. Tudor

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

We study a linear price impact model including other liquidity takers, whose flow of orders either follows a Poisson or a Hawkes process. The optimal execution problem is solved explicitly in this context, and the closed-formula optimal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-10 Aurélien Alfonsi , Pierre Blanc

Statistical and dynamical characters of stock markets have been extensively studied, which now is providing the firm basis for econophysics and its application as ``stylized facts''. However, most of those studies are for markets under the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-04 Shota Nagumo , Takashi Shimada

Strong stability preserving (SSP) integrators for initial value ODEs preserve temporal monotonicity solution properties in arbitrary norms. All existing SSP methods, including implicit methods, either require small step sizes or achieve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-03-27 David I. Ketcheson

We present a class of macroscopic models of the Limit Order Book to simulate the aggregate behaviour of market makers in response to trading flows. The resulting models are solved numerically and asymptotically, and a class of similarity…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-09 Jan Rosenzweig

Nearly one-half of all trades in financial markets are executed by high-speed, autonomous computer programs -- a type of trading often called high-frequency trading (HFT). Although evidence suggests that HFT increases the efficiency of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Benjamin Myers , Austin Gerig

The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical description of the underlying dynamics as a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-31 Rosario Bartiromo

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

It is known that the implied volatility skew of FX options demonstrates a stochastic behavior which is called stochastic skew. In this paper we create stochastic skew by assuming the spot/instantaneous variance correlation to be stochastic.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-20 Andrey Itkin
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