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The acquisition of accurate rainfall distribution in space is an important task in hydrological analysis and natural disaster pre-warning. However, it is impossible to install rain gauges on every corner. Spatial interpolation is a common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Jia Li , Yanyan Shen , Lei Chen , Charles Wang Wai NG

Precipitation nowcasting (short-term forecasting) is still often performed using numerical solvers for physical equations, which are computationally expensive and make limited use of the large volumes of available weather data. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Samuel van Wonderen , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

Real-world time-series datasets often violate the assumptions of standard supervised learning for forecasting -- their distributions evolve over time, rendering the conventional training and model selection procedures suboptimal. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Sercan O. Arik , Nathanael C. Yoder , Tomas Pfister

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasts predominantly rely on dense weather-radar networks, limiting operational value in places most exposed to climate extremes. We present TUPANN (Transferable and Universal Physics-Aligned Nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Antônio Catão , Melvin Poveda , Leonardo Voltarelli , Paulo Orenstein

Recently, many deep-learning techniques have been applied to various weather-related prediction tasks, including precipitation nowcasting (i.e., predicting precipitation levels and locations in the near future). Most existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Jihoon Ko , Kyuhan Lee , Hyunjin Hwang , Kijung Shin

Meteorological agencies around the world rely on real-time flood guidance to issue life-saving advisories and warnings. For decades traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been state-of-the-art for precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Levi Harris , Tianlong Chen

Precipitation nowcasting is critically important for meteorological forecasting. Deep learning-based Radar Echo Extrapolation (REE) has become a predominant nowcasting approach, yet it suffers from poor generalization due to its reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Xin Di , Xinglin Piao , Fei Wang , Guodong Jing , Yong Zhang

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

Precipitation nowcasting, which aims to precisely predict the short-term rainfall intensity of a local region, is gaining increasing attention in the artificial intelligence community. Existing deep learning-based algorithms use a single…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Yuan Cao , Qiuying Li , Hongming Shan , Zhizhong Huang , Lei Chen , Leiming Ma , Junping Zhang

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Precipitation nowcasting is an important spatio-temporal prediction task to predict the radar echoes sequences based on current observations, which can serve both meteorological science and smart city applications. Due to the chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Demin Yu , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Kuai Dai , Rui Wang , Xunlai Chen

The accuracy and explainability of data-driven nowcasting models are of great importance in many socio-economic sectors reliant on weather-dependent decision making. This paper proposes a novel architecture called Small Attention Residual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mathieu Renault , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Weather forecasting is essential for facilitating diverse socio-economic activity and environmental conservation initiatives. Deep learning techniques are increasingly being explored as complementary approaches to Numerical Weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Marco Turzi , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Accurate precipitation forecasting is crucial for early warnings of disasters, such as floods and landslides. Traditional forecasts rely on ground-based radar systems, which are space-constrained and have high maintenance costs.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Young-Jae Park , Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Hae-Gon Jeon , Yeji Choi

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas