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In the era of precision medicine, genome-wide epigenetic modifications offer rich data that could inform risk prediction. However, these data are high-dimensional and exhibit complex dependence structures, which makes it difficult to…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-25 Saurabh Bhandari , Parveen Bhatti , Brian C. -H. Chiu , Yuan Ji

We consider the task of identifying and estimating a parameter of interest in settings where data is missing not at random (MNAR). In general, such parameters are not identified without strong assumptions on the missing data model. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Zixiao Wang , AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser

General circulation models (GCMs) are essential tools for climate studies. Such climate models may have varying accuracy across the input domain, but no model is uniformly best. One can improve climate model prediction performance by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Bo Li , Matthew T. Pratola

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Multiple Additive Regression Trees (MART), an ensemble model of boosted regression trees, is known to deliver high prediction accuracy for diverse tasks, and it is widely used in practice. However, it suffers an issue which we call…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-11 K. V. Rashmi , Ran Gilad-Bachrach

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a non-parametric method to approximate functions. It is a black-box method based on the sum of many trees where priors are used to regularize inference, mainly by restricting trees' learning…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-16 Miriana Quiroga , Pablo G Garay , Juan M. Alonso , Juan Martin Loyola , Osvaldo A Martin

We propose a constructive algorithm for identifying complete data distributions in graphical models of missing data. The complete data distribution is unrestricted, while the missingness mechanism is assumed to factorize according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Anna Guo , Razieh Nabi

Techniques to reduce the energy burden of an industrial ecosystem often require solving a multiobjective optimization problem. However, collecting experimental data can often be either expensive or time-consuming. In such cases, statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Akira Horiguchi , Thomas J. Santner , Ying Sun , Matthew T. Pratola

In this paper, we analyze a specific class of missing not at random (MNAR) assumptions called tree graphs, extending upon the work of pattern graphs. We build off previous work by introducing the idea of a conjugate odds family in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Daniel Suen , Yen-Chi Chen

Missing data is a pervasive challenge spanning diverse data types, including tabular, sensor data, time-series, images and so on. Its origins are multifaceted, resulting in various missing mechanisms. Prior research in this field has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Youran Zhou , Mohamed Reda Bouadjenek , Sunil Aryal

Probabilistic Regression Trees (PRTrees) generalize traditional decision trees by incorporating probability functions that associate each data point with different regions of the tree, providing smooth decisions and continuous responses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Taiane Schaedler Prass , Alisson Silva Neimaier , Guilherme Pumi

For the discovery of regression relationships between Y and a large set of p potential predictors x 1 , . . . , x p , the flexible nonparametric nature of BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) allows for a much richer set of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-10-11 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch , Thomas S. Shively

BCART (Bayesian Classification and Regression Trees) and BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) are popular Bayesian regression models widely applicable in modern regression problems. Their popularity is intimately tied to the ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-19 Matthew T. Pratola , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch

Additive regression trees are flexible non-parametric models and popular off-the-shelf tools for real-world non-linear regression. In application domains, such as bioinformatics, where there is also demand for probabilistic predictions with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-17 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

We present a novel prior for tree topology within Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) models. This approach quantifies the hypothetical loss in information and the loss due to complexity associated with choosing the wrong tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 F. Serafini , F. Leisen , C. Villa , K. Wilson

Missing Not at Random (MNAR) and nonnormal data are challenging to handle. Traditional missing data analytical techniques such as full information maximum likelihood estimation (FIML) may fail with nonnormal data as they are built on normal…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-21 Dandan Tang , Xin Tong

This paper introduces Type 2 Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (TOBART-2). BART can produce accurate individual-specific treatment effect estimates. However, in practice estimates are often biased by sample selection. We extend the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Eoghan O'Neill

In this paper we present the practical benefits of a new random forest algorithm to deal withmissing values in the sample. The purpose of this work is to compare the different solutionsto deal with missing values with random forests and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Irving Gómez-Méndez , Emilien Joly