English
Related papers

Related papers: Cherry-Picking in Time Series Forecasting: How to …

200 papers

Time-series classification is essential across diverse domains, including medical diagnosis, industrial monitoring, financial forecasting, and human activity recognition. The Rocket algorithm has emerged as a simple yet powerful method,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-25 Jorge Marco-Blanco , Rubén Cuevas

Accurate bot detection is necessary for the safety and integrity of online platforms. It is also crucial for research on the influence of bots in elections, the spread of misinformation, and financial market manipulation. Platforms deploy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Chris Hays , Zachary Schutzman , Manish Raghavan , Erin Walk , Philipp Zimmer

Amounts of historical data collected increase and business intelligence applicability with automatic forecasting of time series are in high demand. While no single time series modeling method is universal to all types of dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Evaldas Vaiciukynas , Paulius Danenas , Vilius Kontrimas , Rimantas Butleris

Time series has attracted a lot of attention in many fields today. Time series forecasting algorithm based on complex network analysis is a research hotspot. How to use time series information to achieve more accurate forecasting is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

There seems to be an upper limit to predicting the outcome of matches in (semi-)professional sports. Recent work has proposed that this is due to chance and attempts have been made to simulate the distribution of win percentages to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

Most state-of-the-art probabilistic time series forecasting models rely on sampling to represent future uncertainty. However, this paradigm suffers from inherent limitations, such as lacking explicit probabilities, inadequate coverage, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Xilin Dai , Zhijian Xu , Wanxu Cai , Qiang Xu

Traditional statistical and measurements are unable to solve all industrial data in the right way and appropriate time. Open markets mean the customers are increased, and production must increase to provide all customer requirements.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-26 Hamza Saad

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

Accurate evaluation of forecasting models is essential for ensuring reliable predictions. Current practices for evaluating and comparing forecasting models focus on summarising performance into a single score, using metrics such as SMAPE.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Roque , Carlos Soares

In order to allow machine learning algorithms to extract knowledge from raw data, these data must first be cleaned, transformed, and put into machine-appropriate form. These often very time-consuming phase is referred to as preprocessing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 David Cemernek

Data-centric technologies provide exciting opportunities, but recent research has shown how lack of representation in datasets, often as a result of systemic inequities and socioeconomic disparities, can produce inequitable outcomes that…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Gabriella Thompson , Ebtesam Al Haque , Paulette Blanc , Meme Styles , Denae Ford , Angela D. R. Smith , Brittany Johnson

When mining large datasets in order to predict new data, limitations of the principles behind statistical machine learning pose a serious challenge not only to the Big Data deluge, but also to the traditional assumptions that data…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Felipe S. Abrahão , Hector Zenil , Fabio Porto , Michael Winter , Klaus Wehmuth , Itala M. L. D'Ottaviano

A plethora of research has been done in the past focusing on predicting student's performance in order to support their development. Many institutions are focused on improving the performance and the education quality; and this can be…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-15 MohammadNoor Injadat , Abdallah Moubayed , Ali Bou Nassif , Abdallah Shami

Several real-world classification problems are example-dependent cost-sensitive in nature, where the costs due to misclassification vary between examples and not only within classes. However, standard classification methods do not take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Alejandro Correa Bahnsen , Djamila Aouada , Bjorn Ottersten

Data pruning is the problem of identifying a core subset that is most beneficial to training and discarding the remainder. While pruning strategies are well studied for discriminative models like those used in classification, little…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Rania Briq , Jiangtao Wang , Stefan Kesselheim

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

The prediction of academic dropout, with the aim of preventing it, is one of the current challenges of higher education institutions. Machine learning techniques are a great ally in this task. However, attention is needed in the way that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Bruno de M. Barros , Hugo A. D. do Nascimento , Raphael Guedes , Sandro E. Monsueto

Several tasks in information retrieval (IR) rely on assumptions regarding the distribution of some property (such as term frequency) in the data being processed. This thesis argues that such distributional assumptions can lead to incorrect…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Casper Petersen

In the era of data-centric AI, the ability to curate high-quality training data is as crucial as model design. Coresets offer a principled approach to data reduction, enabling efficient learning on large datasets through importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Morad Tukan , Loay Mualem , Eitan Netzer , Liran Sigalat