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Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Transformer-based architectures are the model of choice for natural language understanding, but they come at a significant cost, as they have quadratic complexity in the input length, require a lot of training data, and can be difficult to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Florian Mai , Arnaud Pannatier , Fabio Fehr , Haolin Chen , Francois Marelli , Francois Fleuret , James Henderson

Traffic prediction plays a central role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) by supporting real-time decision-making, congestion management, and long-term planning. However, many existing approaches face practical limitations. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Seerat Kaur , Sukhjit Singh Sehra , Dariush Ebrahimi

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Although traffic prediction has been receiving considerable attention with a number of successes in the context of intelligent transportation systems, the prediction of traffic states over a complex transportation network that contains…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Zilin Bian , Jingqin Gao , Kaan Ozbay , Zhenning Li

Traffic forecasting is a core element of intelligent traffic monitoring system. Approaches based on graph neural networks have been widely used in this task to effectively capture spatial and temporal dependencies of road networks. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Yaobin Xu , Weitang Liu , Zhongyi Jiang , Zixuan Xu , Tingyun Mao , Lili Chen , Mingwei Zhou

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Traffic state data, such as speed, volume and travel time collected from ubiquitous traffic monitoring sensors require advanced network level analytics for forecasting and identifying significant traffic patterns. This paper leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Tianya Zhang

Forecasting irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values (IMTS) is a fundamental challenge in domains such as healthcare, climate science, and biology. While recent advances in vision and time series forecasting have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Christian Klötergens , Tim Dernedde , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Traffic speed forecasting is one of the core problems in transportation systems. For a more accurate prediction, recent studies started using not only the temporal speed patterns but also the spatial information on the road network through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Kyungeun Lee , Wonjong Rhee

We present a novel framework that leverages time series clustering to improve internet traffic matrix (TM) prediction using deep learning (DL) models. Traffic flows within a TM often exhibit diverse temporal behaviors, which can hinder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Martha Cash , Alexander Wyglinski

Large amounts of traffic can lead to negative effects such as increased car accidents, air pollution, and significant time wasted. Understanding traffic speeds on any given road segment can be highly beneficial for traffic management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Alexandru T. Cismaru

To tackle ever-increasing city traffic congestion problems, researchers have proposed deep learning models to aid decision-makers in the traffic control domain. Although the proposed models have been remarkably improved in recent years,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Hyunwook Lee , Cheonbok Park , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Jaegul Choo , Sungahn Ko

Multivariate time series data provide a robust framework for future predictions by leveraging information across multiple dimensions, ensuring broad applicability in practical scenarios. However, their high dimensionality and mixing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Xuanbing Zhu , Dunbin Shen , Zhongwen Rao , Huiyi Ma , Yingguang Hao , Hongyu Wang

Nowadays, with the rapid development of IoT (Internet of Things) and CPS (Cyber-Physical Systems) technologies, big spatiotemporal data are being generated from mobile phones, car navigation systems, and traffic sensors. By leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Renhe Jiang , Du Yin , Zhaonan Wang , Yizhuo Wang , Jiewen Deng , Hangchen Liu , Zekun Cai , Jinliang Deng , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Forecasting the scalable future states of surrounding traffic participants in complex traffic scenarios is a critical capability for autonomous vehicles, as it enables safe and feasible decision-making. Recent successes in learning-based…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-08 Haochen Liu , Zhiyu Huang , Chen Lv

This study proposes a hybrid model based on Transformers, named MSCMHMST, aimed at addressing key challenges in traffic flow prediction. Traditional single-method approaches show limitations in traffic prediction tasks, whereas hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Weiyang Geng , Yiming Pan , Zhecong Xing , Dongyu Liu , Rui Liu , Yuan Zhu

Road traffic forecasting plays a critical role in smart city initiatives and has experienced significant advancements thanks to the power of deep learning in capturing non-linear patterns of traffic data. However, the promising results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Xu Liu , Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Junfeng Hu , Yiwei Wang , Lei Bai , Chao Huang , Zhenguang Liu , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Mobile traffic data in urban regions shows differentiated patterns during different hours of the day. The exploitation of these patterns enables highly accurate mobile traffic prediction for proactive network management. However, recent…

In machine learning, effective modeling requires a holistic consideration of how to encode inputs, make predictions (i.e., decoding), and train the model. However, in time-series forecasting, prior work has predominantly focused on encoder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Jaebin Lee , Hankook Lee