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In computational materials science, mechanical properties are typically extracted from simulations by means of analysis routines that seek to mimic their experimental counterparts. However, simulated data often exhibit uncertainties that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-07 Paul N. Patrone , Anthony J. Kearsley , Andrew M. Dienstfrey

The evolution of local defects such as dislocations and cracks often determines the performance of engineering materials. For a proper description and understanding of these phenomena, one needs to descend to a very small scale, at which…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-05-04 K. Mikeš , F. Bormann , O. Rokoš , R. H. J. Peerlings

This paper focuses on the problem of quantifying the effects of model-structure uncertainty in the context of time-evolving dynamical systems. This is motivated by multi-model uncertainty in computer physics simulations: developers often…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Anthony M. DeGennaro , Nathan M. Urban , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Terry Haut

Security-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC) is one of the most significant problems in secure and optimal operation of modern electricity markets. New sources of uncertainties such as wind speed volatility and price-sensitive loads impose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Mehrtash , Mahdi Raoofat , Mohammad Mohammadi , Mohammad Hossein Zakernejad

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental for theoretically describing numerous physical processes that are based on some input fields in spatial configurations. Understanding the physical process, in general, requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mahadevan Ganesh , Stuart C Hawkins , Alexandre Tartakovsky , Ramakrishna Tipireddy

A growing body of work has established the modelling of stochastic processes as a promising area of application for quantum techologies; it has been shown that quantum models are able to replicate the future statistics of a stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-25 Matthew Ho , Mile Gu , Thomas J. Elliott

Bayesian parameter inference for complex stochastic simulators is challenging due to intractable likelihood functions. Existing simulation-based inference methods often require large number of simulations and become costly to use in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Vasilis Gkolemis , Christos Diou , Michael U. Gutmann

Nonlinear initial value turbulence simulations often exhibit large temporal variations in their dynamics. Quantifying the temporal uncertainty of turbulence simulation outputs is an important component of validating the simulation results…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-03-01 Payam Vaezi , Chris Holland

Accurate software cost and schedule estimation are essential for software project success. Often it referred to as the "black art" because of its complexity and uncertainty, software estimation is not as difficult or puzzling as people…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-01-16 Kardile Vilas Vasantrao

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key discipline for computational modeling of complex systems, enhancing reliability of engineering simulations. In crashworthiness, having an accurate assessment of the behavior of the model uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Sergio Zlotnik , Xabier Larráyoz , Pedro Díez

The failure of heterogeneous materials with microstructures is a complex process of damage nucleation, growth and localisation. This process spans multiple length scales and is challenging to simulate numerically due to its high…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-05-24 Philip P. Müller , Falk K. Wittel , David S. Kammer

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

The intrusive (sample-free) spectral stochastic finite element method (SSFEM) is a powerful numerical tool for solving stochastic partial differential equations (PDEs). However, it is not widely adopted in academic and industrial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Ajit Desai

We propose a simple safety filter design for stochastic discrete-time systems based on piecewise affine probabilistic control barrier functions, providing an appealing balance between modeling flexibility and computational complexity. Exact…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Matisse Teuwen , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Mathematical models simulate various events under different conditions, enabling an early overview of the system to be implemented in practice, reducing the waste of resources and in less time. In project optimization, these models play a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Francisco Duarte Moura Neto , Gustavo Mendes Platt

Analog quantum simulation is emerging as a powerful tool for uncovering classically unreachable physics such as many-body real-time dynamics. A complete quantification of uncertainties is necessary in order to make precise predictions using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-16 Nikita A. Zemlevskiy , Henry F. Froland , Stephan Caspar

Development of robust dynamical systems and networks such as autonomous aircraft systems capable of accomplishing complex missions faces challenges due to the dynamically evolving uncertainties coming from model uncertainties, necessity to…

Whether learned, simulated, or analytical, approximations of a robot's dynamics can be inaccurate when encountering novel environments. Many approaches have been proposed to quantify the aleatoric uncertainty of such methods, i.e.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Luís Marques , Dmitry Berenson

Exotic behaviour of mechanical metamaterials often relies on an internal transformation of the underlying microstructure triggered by its local instabilities, rearrangements, and rotations. Depending on the presence and magnitude of such a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-04-16 Ondřej Rokoš , Jan Zeman , Martin Doškář , Petr Krysl

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn
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