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Deep neural networks (DNNs) are becoming more prevalent in important safety-critical applications, where reliability in the prediction is paramount. Despite their exceptional prediction capabilities, current DNNs do not have an implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 David Betancourt , Rafi Muhanna

Improving calibration performance in deep learning (DL) classification models is important when planning the use of DL in a decision-support setting. In such a scenario, a confident wrong prediction could lead to a lack of trust and/or harm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Tareen Dawood , Bram Ruijsink , Reza Razavi , Andrew P. King , Esther Puyol-Antón

In inverse problems, distribution-free uncertainty quantification (UQ) aims to obtain error bars with coverage guarantees that are independent of any prior assumptions about the data distribution. In the context of mass mapping,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-26 Hubert Leterme , Jalal Fadili , Jean-Luc Starck

In modern process industries, data-driven models are important tools for real-time monitoring when key performance indicators are difficult to measure directly. While accurate predictions are essential, reliable uncertainty quantification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Yiran Ma , Jerome Le Ny , Zhichao Chen , Zhihuan Song

In principle, deep learning models trained on medical time-series, including wearable photoplethysmography (PPG) sensor data, can provide a means to continuously monitor physiological parameters outside of clinical settings. However, there…

Trustworthy deployment of ML models requires a proper measure of uncertainty, especially in safety-critical applications. We focus on uncertainty quantification (UQ) for classification problems via two avenues -- prediction sets using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-08 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification via information bottleneck (IB-UQ) for scientific machine learning tasks, including deep neural network (DNN) regression and neural operator learning (DeepONet). Specifically, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Ling Guo , Hao Wu , Wenwen Zhou , Yan Wang , Tao Zhou

Differential dynamic microscopy (DDM) is a form of video image analysis that combines the sensitivity of scattering and the direct visualization benefits of microscopy. DDM is broadly useful in determining dynamical properties including the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-04-12 Mengyang Gu , Yimin Luo , Yue He , Matthew E. Helgeson , Megan T. Valentine

This research study explores the applicability of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) for thermal control based on Computational Fluid Dynamics. To accomplish that, the forced convection on a hot plate prone to a pulsating cooling jet with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Sajad Salavatidezfouli , Giovanni Stabile , Gianluigi Rozza

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful framework for solving PDEs, yet existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches for PINNs generally lack rigorous statistical guarantees. In this work, we bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Yifan Yu , Cheuk Hin Ho , Yangshuai Wang

We propose a robust in-time predictor for in-hospital COVID-19 patient's probability of requiring mechanical ventilation. A challenge in the risk prediction for COVID-19 patients lies in the great variability and irregular sampling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Kai Zhang , Siddharth Karanth , Bela Patel , Robert Murphy , Xiaoqian Jiang

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved tremendous success in computer vision, natural language processing, and scientific and engineering domains. However, DNNs can make unexpected, incorrect, yet overconfident predictions, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Tingsong Xiao , Zelin Xu , Yukun Li

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for developing machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in predictive atomistic simulations. Conformal prediction (CP) is a statistical framework that constructs prediction…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Cheuk Hin Ho , Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang

In this paper, we present a novel distributed UAVs beam reforming approach to dynamically form and reform a space-selective beam path in addressing the coexistence with satellite and terrestrial communications. Despite the unique advantage…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-19 Sudhanshu Arya , Yifeng Peng , Jingda Yang , Ying Wang

Dynamic queueing networks (DQN) model queueing systems where demand varies strongly with time, such as airport terminals. With rapidly rising global air passenger traffic placing increasing pressure on airport terminals, efficient…

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

The convergence of communication and computation, along with the integration of machine learning and artificial intelligence, stand as key empowering pillars for the sixth-generation of communication systems (6G). This paper considers a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Robert-Jeron Reifert , Hayssam Dahrouj , Alaa Alameer Ahmad , Haris Gacanin , Aydin Sezgin

``Distribution shift'' is the main obstacle to the success of offline reinforcement learning. A learning policy may take actions beyond the behavior policy's knowledge, referred to as Out-of-Distribution (OOD) actions. The Q-values for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Jing Zhang , Linjiajie Fang , Kexin Shi , Wenjia Wang , Bing-Yi Jing

With increasing computational demand, Neural-Network (NN) based models are being developed as pre-trained surrogates for different thermohydraulics phenomena. An area where this approach has shown promise is in developing higher-fidelity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-13 Cody Grogan , Som Dutta , Mauricio Tano , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Izabela Gutowska

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have emerged as a promising auxiliary platform for smart agriculture, capable of simultaneously performing weed detection, recognition, and data collection from wireless sensors. However, trajectory planning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Wencan Mao , Quanxi Zhou , Tomas Couso Coddou , Manabu Tsukada , Yunling Liu , Yusheng Ji