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We extend recurrent neural networks to include several flexible timescales for each dimension of their output, which mechanically improves their abilities to account for processes with long memory or with highly disparate time scales. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Damien Challet , Vincent Ragel

The existing literature provides evidence that limit order book data can be used to predict short-term price movements in stock markets. This paper proposes a new neural network architecture for predicting return jump arrivals in equity…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Ymir Mäkinen , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

This paper presents \textbf{FreEformer}, a simple yet effective model that leverages a \textbf{Fre}quency \textbf{E}nhanced Trans\textbf{former} for multivariate time series forecasting. Our work is based on the assumption that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Wenzhen Yue , Yong Liu , Xianghua Ying , Bowei Xing , Ruohao Guo , Ji Shi

Recent work has shown that either (1) increasing the input length or (2) increasing model size can improve the performance of Transformer-based neural models. In this paper, we present a new model, called LongT5, with which we explore the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Mandy Guo , Joshua Ainslie , David Uthus , Santiago Ontanon , Jianmo Ni , Yun-Hsuan Sung , Yinfei Yang

Video prediction is a challenging computer vision task that has a wide range of applications. In this work, we present a new family of Transformer-based models for video prediction. Firstly, an efficient local spatial-temporal separation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Xi Ye , Guillaume-Alexandre Bilodeau

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

We analyse multimodal time-series data corresponding to weight, sleep and steps measurements. We focus on predicting whether a user will successfully achieve his/her weight objective. For this, we design several deep long short-term memory…

We propose a novel framework, Continuous_Time Attention, which infuses partial differential equations (PDEs) into the Transformer's attention mechanism to address the challenges of extremely long input sequences. Instead of relying solely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yukun Zhang , Xueqing Zhou

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Predicting turn-taking in multiparty conversations has many practical applications in human-computer/robot interaction. However, the complexity of human communication makes it a challenging task. Recent advances have shown that synchronous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Mehdi Fatan , Emanuele Mincato , Dimitra Pintzou , Mariella Dimiccoli

Trend-following strategies underpin many systematic trading approaches yet struggle under nonstationary and nonlinear market regimes. We propose an LSTM-based framework to forecast next-day trend differences ($\Delta_t$) for the top 30 S\&P…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Harris Buchanan , Eric Benhamou

Derivatives, as a critical class of financial instruments, isolate and trade the price attributes of risk assets such as stocks, commodities, and indices, aiding risk management and enhancing market efficiency. However, traditional hedging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Yiheng Ding , Gangnan Yuan , Dewei Zuo , Ting Gao

Cross-sectional strategies are a classical and popular trading style, with recent high performing variants incorporating sophisticated neural architectures. While these strategies have been applied successfully to data-rich settings…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Daniel Poh , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Transformer is a powerful model for text understanding. However, it is inefficient due to its quadratic complexity to input sequence length. Although there are many methods on Transformer acceleration, they are still either inefficient on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Chuhan Wu , Fangzhao Wu , Tao Qi , Yongfeng Huang , Xing Xie

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

The Transformer architecture yields state-of-the-art results in many tasks such as natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV), since the ability to efficiently capture the precise long-range dependency coupling between input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Peiwang Tang , Xianchao Zhang

For recurrent neural networks trained on time series with target and exogenous variables, in addition to accurate prediction, it is also desired to provide interpretable insights into the data. In this paper, we explore the structure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Tian Guo , Tao Lin , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Traffic forecasting requires modeling complex temporal dynamics and long-range spatial dependencies over large sensor networks. Existing methods typically face a trade-off between expressiveness and efficiency: Transformer-based models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Xinjin Li , Jinghan Cao , Mengyue Wang , Yue Wu , Longxiang Yan , Yeyang Zhou , Ziqi Sha , Yu Ma

Endowing visual agents with predictive capability is a key step towards video intelligence at scale. The predominant modeling paradigm for this is sequence learning, mostly implemented through LSTMs. Feed-forward Transformer architectures…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Tsung-Ming Tai , Giuseppe Fiameni , Cheng-Kuang Lee , Oswald Lanz