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In Gaussian graphical models, conditional independence and partial correlations are natural inferential targets for understanding direct relationships in multivariate data. No comparable framework exists for spatial processes, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Michele Peruzzi

The spatial random-effects model is flexible in modeling spatial covariance functions, and is computationally efficient for spatial prediction via fixed rank kriging. However, the success of this model depends on an appropriate set of basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 ShengLi Tzeng , Hsin-Cheng Huang

This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

A new discrete-time shot noise Cox process for spatiotemporal data is proposed. The random intensity is driven by a dependent sequence of latent gamma random measures. Some properties of the latent process are derived, such as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

Scoring rules are aimed at evaluation of the quality of predictions, but can also be used for estimation of parameters in statistical models. We propose estimating parameters of multivariate spatial models by maximising the average…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-23 Helga Kristin Olafsdottir , Holger Rootzén , David Bolin

Estimating the covariance structure of multivariate time series is a fundamental problem with a wide-range of real-world applications -- from financial modeling to fMRI analysis. Despite significant recent advances, current state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Daniel Moyer , Hrant Khachatrian , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

The construction of valid and flexible cross-covariance functions is a fundamental task for modeling multivariate space-time data arising from climatological and oceanographical phenomena. Indeed, a suitable specification of the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu , Reinhard Furrer , Jorge Mateu

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

Evaluating the predictive performance of a statistical model is commonly done using cross-validation. Among the various methods, leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) is frequently used. Originally designed for exchangeable observations,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-04 Zhedong Liu , Janet Van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Multivariate spatial field data are increasingly common and whose modeling typically relies on building cross-covariance functions to describe cross-process relationships. An alternative viewpoint is to model the matrix of spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-07 William Kleiber

Enhancing node-level Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) generalization on graphs remains a crucial area of research. In this paper, we develop a Structural Causal Model (SCM) to theoretically dissect the performance of two prominent invariant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Qixun Wang , Yifei Wang , Yisen Wang , Xianghua Ying

Hierarchical spatial models are very flexible and popular for a vast array of applications in areas such as ecology, social science, public health, and atmospheric science. It is common to carry out Bayesian inference for these models via…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-17 Ben Seiyon Lee , Murali Haran

The Cox proportional hazard model is one of the most popular tools in analyzing time-to-event data in public health studies. When outcomes observed in clinical data from different regions yield a varying pattern correlated with location, it…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-20 Yishu Xue , Elizabeth D. Schifano , Guanyu Hu

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Bent Jørgensen

We propose a new copula model for replicated multivariate spatial data. Unlike classical models that assume multivariate normality of the data, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that some factors exist that affect the joint…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

The physical properties of matter are typically described by coefficient matrices governed by crystal symmetry. Applying spatial operations, such as rotation, inversion, and mirror, to these matrices provides an effective approach for…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-16 Hongjin Xiong , Teng Ma

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Conditional independence testing is an important problem, yet provably hard without assumptions. One of the assumptions that has become popular of late is called "model-X", where we assume we know the joint distribution of the covariates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Eugene Katsevich , Aaditya Ramdas

Accurate and precise covariance matrices will be important in enabling planned cosmological surveys to detect new physics. Standard methods imply either the need for many N-body simulations in order to obtain an accurate estimate, or a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-13 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor