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The problem of predicting links in large networks is an important task in a variety of practical applications, including social sciences, biology and computer security. In this paper, statistical techniques for link prediction based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Francesco Sanna Passino , Anna S. Bertiger , Joshua C. Neil , Nicholas A. Heard

The rapid proliferation of the Internet and the widespread adoption of social networks have significantly accelerated information dissemination. However, this transformation has introduced complexities in information capture and processing,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Yuchuan Jiang , Chaolong Jia , Yunyi Qin , Wei Cai , Yongsen Qian

Information diffusion prediction is a fundamental task for understanding the information propagation process. It has wide applications in such as misinformation spreading prediction and malicious account detection. Previous works either…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Chunyuan Yuan , Jiacheng Li , Wei Zhou , Yijun Lu , Xiaodan Zhang , Songlin Hu

Online social networks have recently become an effective and innovative channel for spreading information and influence among hundreds of millions of end users. Many prior work have carried out empirical studies and proposed diffusion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-08-20 Feng Wang , Haiyan Wang , Kuai Xu

Temporal Knowledge Graph (TKG) is an extension of traditional Knowledge Graph (KG) that incorporates the dimension of time. Reasoning on TKGs is a crucial task that aims to predict future facts based on historical occurrences. The key…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Hao Dong , Pengyang Wang , Meng Xiao , Zhiyuan Ning , Pengfei Wang , Yuanchun Zhou

Information cascade popularity prediction is a key problem in analyzing content diffusion in social networks. However, current related works suffer from three critical limitations: (1) temporal leakage in current evaluation--random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jie Peng , Rui Wang , Qiang Wang , Zhewei Wei , Bin Tong , Guan Wang , Bo Zheng

Temporal link prediction (TLP) models are commonly evaluated based on predictive accuracy, yet such evaluations do not assess whether these models capture the causal mechanisms that govern temporal interactions. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Aniq Ur Rahman , Justin P. Coon

Question answering over temporal knowledge graphs (TKGQA) has recently found increasing interest. TKGQA requires temporal reasoning techniques to extract the relevant information from temporal knowledge bases. The only existing TKGQA…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Zifeng Ding , Zongyue Li , Ruoxia Qi , Jingpei Wu , Bailan He , Yunpu Ma , Zhao Meng , Shuo Chen , Ruotong Liao , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Social media has been rapidly developing in the public sphere due to its ease of spreading new information, which leads to the circulation of rumors. However, detecting rumors from such a massive amount of information is becoming an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Ge Wang , Li Tan , Tianbao Song , Wei Wang , Ziliang Shang

Forecasting relations between entities is paramount in the current era of data and AI. However, it is often overlooked that real-world relationships are inherently directional, involve more than two entities, and can change with time. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Tony Gracious , Arman Gupta , Ambedkar Dukkipati

On graph data, the multitude of node or edge types gives rise to heterogeneous information networks (HINs). To preserve the heterogeneous semantics on HINs, the rich node/edge types become a cornerstone of HIN representation learning.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Trung-Kien Nguyen , Zemin Liu , Yuan Fang

Predicting the future price trends of stocks is a challenging yet intriguing problem given its critical role to help investors make profitable decisions. In this paper, we present a collaborative temporal-relational modeling framework for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Chaoran Cui , Xiaojie Li , Juan Du , Chunyun Zhang , Xiushan Nie , Meng Wang , Yilong Yin

This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex…

The Hawkes process has become a standard method for modeling self-exciting event sequences with different event types. A recent work has generalized the Hawkes process to a neurally self-modulating multivariate point process, which enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Zhen Han , Yunpu Ma , Yuyi Wang , Stephan Günnemann , Volker Tresp

With the proliferation of temporal graph data, there is a growing demand for analyzing information propagation patterns during graph evolution. Existing graph analysis systems, mostly based on static snapshots, struggle to effectively…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Jiacheng Ding , Cong Guo , Xiaofei Zhang

Although the rise of large language models (LLMs) has introduced new opportunities for time series forecasting, existing LLM-based solutions require excessive training and exhibit limited transferability. In view of these challenges, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Silin Yang , Dong Wang , Haoqi Zheng , Ruochun Jin

Fake news threatens democracy and exacerbates the polarization and divisions in society; therefore, accurately detecting online misinformation is the foundation of addressing this issue. We present CrediRAG, the first fake news detection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Ashwin Ram , Yigit Ege Bayiz , Arash Amini , Mustafa Munir , Radu Marculescu

Political misinformation, astroturfing and organised trolling are online malicious behaviours with significant real-world effects. Many previous approaches examining these phenomena have focused on broad campaigns rather than the small…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Derek Weber , Frank Neumann

In evolving complex systems such as air traffic and social organizations, collective effects emerge from their many components' dynamic interactions. While the dynamic interactions can be represented by temporal networks with nodes and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Tiago P. Peixoto , Martin Rosvall

Link prediction is a key problem for network-structured data, attracting considerable research efforts owing to its diverse applications. The current link prediction methods focus on general networks and are overly dependent on either the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Min Zhou , Bisheng Li , Menglin Yang , Lujia Pan
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