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An increasing number of control techniques are introduced to HIV infection problem to explore the options of helping clinical testing, optimizing drug treatments and to study the drug resistance situations. In such cases, complete/accurate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Fei Sun , Kamran Turkoglu

To make informative public policy decisions in battling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it is important to know the disease prevalence in a population. There are two intertwined difficulties in estimating this prevalence based on testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Bryan Cai , John P. A. Ioannidis , Eran Bendavid , Lu Tian

One of the cornerstones in combating the HIV pandemic is being able to assess the current state and evolution of local HIV epidemics. This remains a complex problem, as many HIV infected individuals remain unaware of their infection status,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-24 Pieter Libin , Nassim Versbraegen , Ana B. Abecasis , Perpetua Gomes , Tom Lenaerts , Ann Nowé

I propose novel partial identification bounds on infection prevalence from information on test rate and test yield. The approach utilizes user-specified bounds on (i) test accuracy and (ii) the extent to which tests are targeted, formalized…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Jörg Stoye

The probability-scale residual (PSR) is well defined across a wide variety of variable types and models, making it useful for studies of HIV/AIDS. In this manuscript, we highlight some of the properties of the PSR and illustrate its…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-02 Bryan E. Shepherd , Qi Liu , Valentine Wanga , Chun Li

Modeling viral dynamics in HIV/AIDS studies has resulted in a deep understanding of pathogenesis of HIV infection from which novel antiviral treatment guidance and strategies have been derived. Viral dynamics models based on nonlinear…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-08 Hua Liang , Hongyu Miao , Hulin Wu

Cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTLs) recognize viral protein fragments displayed by major histocompatibility complex (MHC) molecules on the surface of virally infected cells and generate an anti-viral response that can kill the infected cells.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-25 Taylor A. Kessinger , Alan S. Perelson , Richard A. Neher

This paper describes types of errors arising in a recently proposed method of incidence estimation from prevalence data. The errors are illustrated by a simulation study about a hypothetical irreversible disease. In addition, a way of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-06 Ralph Brinks

Confounding and exposure measurement error can introduce bias when drawing inference about the marginal effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest. While there are broad methodologies for addressing each source of bias individually,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-29 Brian D. Richardson , Bryan S. Blette , Peter B. Gilbert , Michael G. Hudgens

The development of potent drugs for the control of viraemia in people living with HIV means that infected people may live a normal, healthy life and offers the prospect of eliminating HIV transmission in the short term and HIV infection in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-08 Brian G Williams

Recency bias in a sequential recommendation system refers to the overly high emphasis placed on recent items within a user session. This bias can diminish the serendipity of recommendations and hinder the system's ability to capture users'…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Jeonglyul Oh , Sungzoon Cho

Serology testing can identify past infection by quantifying the immune response of an infected individual providing important public health guidance. Individual immune responses are time-dependent, which is reflected in antibody…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-04 Prajakta Bedekar , Anthony J. Kearsley , Paul N. Patrone

A target to eliminate Human Immuno-deficiency Virus (HIV) transmission in England by 2030 was set in early 2019. Estimates of recent trends in HIV prevalence, particularly the number of people living with undiagnosed HIV, by exposure group,…

In early HIV infection, the virus population escapes from multiple CD8+ cell responses. The later an escape mutation emerges, the slower it outgrows its competition, i. e. the escape rate is lower. This pattern could indicate that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-30 Victor Garcia , Roland Regoes

Existing methods to estimate the prevalence of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) in New York City (NYC) are limited in scope and fail to assess hard-to-reach subpopulations with highest risk such as injecting drug users (IDUs). To address these…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-16 Sarah Tan , Susanna Makela , Daliah Heller , Kevin Konty , Sharon Balter , Tian Zheng , James H. Stark

Path-specific effects are a broad class of mediated effects from an exposure to an outcome via one or more causal pathways with respect to some subset of intermediate variables. The majority of the literature concerning estimation of…

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Dynamic models have been successfully used in producing estimates of HIV epidemics at national level, due to their epidemiological nature and their ability to simultaneously estimate prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates. Recently, HIV…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-19 Le Bao , Ben Sheng , Xiaoyue Niu , Yuan Tang , Tim Brown , Peter D. Ghys , Jeff W. Eaton

We propose and study a fully efficient method to estimate associations of an exposure with disease incidence when both, incident cases and prevalent cases, i.e. individuals who were diagnosed with the disease at some prior time point and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Marlena Maziarz , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin , Ruth Pfeiffer

Methods are lacking to handle the problem of survival analysis in the presence of an interval-censored covariate, specifically the case in which the conditional hazard of the primary event of interest depends on the occurrence of a…

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