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Many consequential real-world systems, like wind fields and ocean currents, are dynamic and hard to model. Learning their governing dynamics remains a central challenge in scientific machine learning. Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Yujin Kim , Sarah Dean

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. This paper proposes a new statistical model for such systems, modeled as dynamic networks, to address this challenge. It…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

This paper discusses the predictive capability of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) in the context of orbital mechanics. The focus is specifically on the Hankel variant of DMD which uses a stacked set of time-delayed observations for system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-26 Sriram Narayanan , Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Indranil Nayak , Suman Chakravorty , Mrinal Kumar

Multivariate long-term and efficient time series forecasting is a key requirement for a variety of practical applications, and there are complex interleaving time dynamics in time series data that require decomposition modeling. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Hang Ye , Gaoxiang Duan , Haoran Zeng , Yangxin Zhu , Lingxue Meng , Xiaoying Zheng , Yongxin Zhu

Analyzing sequential data is crucial in many domains, particularly due to the abundance of data collected from the Internet of Things paradigm. Time series classification, the task of categorizing sequential data, has gained prominence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Venkata Ragavendra Vavilthota , Ranjith Ramanathan , Sathyanarayanan N. Aakur

This paper considers a structural-factor approach to modeling high-dimensional time series and space-time data by decomposing individual series into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. For ease in analyzing many time series, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S Tsay

Time series forecasting remains a challenging task, particularly in the context of complex multiscale temporal patterns. This study presents LLM-Mixer, a framework that improves forecasting accuracy through the combination of multiscale…

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Time series forecasting (TSF) is critical across domains such as finance, meteorology, and energy. While extending the lookback window theoretically provides richer historical context, in practice, it often introduces irrelevant noise and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Xiang Ao , Yinyu Tan , Mengru Chen

The stability and persistence of web services are important to Internet companies to improve user experience and business performances. To keep eyes on numerous metrics and report abnormal situations, time series anomaly detection methods…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-24 Tianwei Li , Yitong Geng , Huai Jiang

Forecasting models are pivotal in a data-driven world with vast volumes of time series data that appear as a compound of vast Linear and Nonlinear patterns. Recent deep time series forecasting models struggle to utilize seasonal and trend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Guoqi Yu , Yaoming Li , Xiaoyu Guo , Dayu Wang , Zirui Liu , Shujun Wang , Tong Yang

Time-to-Collision (TTC) forecasting is a critical task in collision prevention, requiring precise temporal prediction and comprehending both local and global patterns encapsulated in a video, both spatially and temporally. To address the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Nishq Poorav Desai , Ali Etemad , Michael Greenspan

Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning. While prevailing approaches enhance forecasting performance by modifying architectures or introducing novel enhancement strategies, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haonan Yang , Jianchao Tang , Zhuo Li

In recent years, the application of transformer-based models in time-series forecasting has received significant attention. While often demonstrating promising results, the transformer architecture encounters challenges in fully exploiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Artyom Stitsyuk , Jaesik Choi

We demonstrate that the integration of the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) with a multi-resolution analysis allows for a decomposition method capable of robustly separating complex systems into a hierarchy of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-02 J. Nathan Kutz , Xing Fu , Steven L. Brunton

The dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven approach that extracts the dominant features from spatiotemporal data. In this work, we introduce sparse-mode DMD, a new variant of the optimized DMD framework that specifically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-29 Sara M. Ichinaga , Steven L. Brunton , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , J. Nathan Kutz

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Multiple seasonal patterns play a key role in time series forecasting, especially for business time series where seasonal effects are often dramatic. Previous approaches including Fourier decomposition, exponential smoothing, and seasonal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-03 Hyunji Moon , Bomi Song , Hyeonseop Lee

Multivariate time series forecasting poses an ongoing challenge across various disciplines. Time series data often exhibit diverse intra-series and inter-series correlations, contributing to intricate and interwoven dependencies that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Wanlin Cai , Yuxuan Liang , Xianggen Liu , Jianshuai Feng , Yuankai Wu