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Accurate short-term precipitation forecasts predominantly rely on dense weather-radar networks, limiting operational value in places most exposed to climate extremes. We present TUPANN (Transferable and Universal Physics-Aligned Nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Antônio Catão , Melvin Poveda , Leonardo Voltarelli , Paulo Orenstein

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

This work addresses the challenge of short-term precipitation forecasting by applying Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) neural networks to weather radar data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Petros Demetrakopoulos

Forecasting global precipitation patterns and, in particular, extreme precipitation events is of critical importance to preparing for and adapting to climate change. Making accurate high-resolution precipitation forecasts using traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 James Duncan , Shashank Subramanian , Peter Harrington

Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) networks have been used extensively for time series forecasting in recent years due to their ability of learning patterns over different periods of time. In this paper, this ability is applied to learning the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Mayank Jain , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

When providing the boundary conditions for hydrological flood models and estimating the associated risk, interpolating precipitation at very high temporal resolutions (e.g. 5 minutes) is essential not to miss the cause of flooding in local…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Michiaki Tatsubori , Takao Moriyama , Tatsuya Ishikawa , Paolo Fraccaro , Anne Jones , Blair Edwards , Julian Kuehnert , Sekou L. Remy

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Accurate forecasting of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or storms is critical for risk management and disaster mitigation. Although high-resolution radar observations have spurred extensive research on nowcasting models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Changhoon Song , Teng Yuan Chang , Youngjoon Hong

Satellite remote sensing presents a cost-effective solution for synoptic flood monitoring, and satellite-derived flood maps provide a computationally efficient alternative to numerical flood inundation models traditionally used. While…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-09-05 Antara Dasgupta , Lasse Hybbeneth , Björn Waske

Recently, many deep-learning techniques have been applied to various weather-related prediction tasks, including precipitation nowcasting (i.e., predicting precipitation levels and locations in the near future). Most existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Jihoon Ko , Kyuhan Lee , Hyunjin Hwang , Kijung Shin

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Line of sight satellite systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, high-altitude platforms, and microwave links that operate on frequency bands such as Ka-band or higher are extremely susceptible to rain. Thus, rain fade forecasting for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Aidin Ferdowsi , David Whitefield

Effective hydrological modeling and extreme weather analysis demand precipitation data at a kilometer-scale resolution, which is significantly finer than the 10 km scale offered by standard global products like IMERG. To address this, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Chugang Yi , Minghan Yu , Weikang Qian , Yixin Wen , Haizhao Yang

Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Xinzhe Li , Sun Rui , Yiming Niu , Yao Liu

Diffusion models have been widely adopted in image generation, producing higher-quality and more diverse samples than generative adversarial networks (GANs). We introduce a latent diffusion model (LDM) for precipitation nowcasting -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Daniele Nerini , Urs Germann , Gabriele Franch

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

Accurate short-term streamflow and flood forecasting are critical for mitigating river flood impacts, especially given the increasing climate variability. Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting relies on large streamflow datasets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Xiyu Pan , Neda Mohammadi , John E. Taylor

Deep learning has been successfully applied to precipitation nowcasting. In this work, we propose a pre-training scheme and a new loss function for improving deep-learning-based nowcasting. First, we adapt U-Net, a widely-used deep-learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Jihoon Ko , Kyuhan Lee , Hyunjin Hwang , Seok-Geun Oh , Seok-Woo Son , Kijung Shin
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