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Related papers: S&P 500 Trend Prediction

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This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

In this paper we implement a combination of data-science and fuzzy theory to improve the classical Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model, and implement this to analyze the S&P 500 index. We pre-process the index data based on fuzzy theory.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Hui Jiang , Indranil SenGupta

This research aims to evaluate the performance of several Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) architectures including Simple RNN, Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), compared to classic algorithms such as Random…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-01 Deri Siswara , Agus M. Soleh , Aji Hamim Wigena

Predicting the probability of non-performing loans for individuals has a vital and beneficial role for banks to decrease credit risk and make the right decisions before giving the loan. The trend to make these decisions are based on credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Rufael Fekadu , Anteneh Getachew , Yishak Tadele , Nuredin Ali , Israel Goytom

This study presents an autonomous experimental machine learning protocol for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting that involves a dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

This study presents a machine learning framework for forecasting short-term faults in industrial centrifugal pumps using real-time sensor data. The approach aims to predict {EarlyWarning} conditions 5, 15, and 30 minutes in advance based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Khaled M. A. Alghtus , Aiyad Gannan , Khalid M. Alhajri , Ali L. A. Al Jubouri , Hassan A. I. Al-Janahi

In this paper, we compare various approaches to stock price prediction using neural networks. We analyze the performance fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures in predicting the next day value of S&P 500 index based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Stock price prediction is a challenging task, but machine learning methods have recently been used successfully for this purpose. In this paper, we extract over 270 hand-crafted features (factors) inspired by technical and quantitative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In this paper, I explored how a range of regression and machine learning techniques can be applied to monthly U.S. unemployment data to produce timely forecasts. I compared seven models: Linear Regression, SGDRegressor, Random Forest,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Kyungsu Kim

Prediction of stock groups' values has always been attractive and challenging for shareholders. This paper concentrates on the future prediction of stock market groups. Four groups named diversified financials, petroleum, non-metallic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Mojtaba Nabipour , Pooyan Nayyeri , Hamed Jabani , Amir Mosavi

In this paper we introduce a multi-agent deep-learning method which trades in the Futures markets based on the US S&P 500 index. The method (referred to as Model A) is an innovation founded on existing well-established machine-learning…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-22 CJ Finnegan , James F. McCann , Salissou Moutari

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

Experience has shown that trading in stock and cryptocurrency markets has the potential to be highly profitable. In this light, considerable effort has been recently devoted to investigate how to apply machine learning and deep learning to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Mohammadmahdi Ghahramani , Hamid Esmaeili Najafabadi

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 John Phan , Hung-Fu Chang

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

A stock market is considered as one of the highly complex systems, which consists of many components whose prices move up and down without having a clear pattern. The complex nature of a stock market challenges us on making a reliable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Minjun Kim , Hiroki Sayama