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We use deep partial least squares (DPLS) to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that exploits conditioning information in a flexible and dynamic way while attributing excess returns to a small set of statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Kemen Goicoechea

Deep learning searches for nonlinear factors for predicting asset returns. Predictability is achieved via multiple layers of composite factors as opposed to additive ones. Viewed in this way, asset pricing studies can be revisited using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson

We study a systematic approach to a popular Statistical Arbitrage technique: Pairs Trading. Instead of relying on two highly correlated assets, we replace the second asset with a replication of the first using risk factor representations.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Marek Adamczyk , Michał Dąbrowski

We propose a new pseudo-Siamese Network for Asset Pricing (SNAP) model, based on deep learning approaches, for conditional asset pricing. Our model allows for the deep alpha, deep beta and deep factor risk premia conditional on high…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Hongyi Liu

This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

This paper introduces a consistent estimator and rate of convergence for the precision matrix of asset returns in large portfolios using a non-linear factor model within the deep learning framework. Our estimator remains valid even in low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mehmet Caner , Maurizio Daniele

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Prabhu Prasad Panda , Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Xilin Chen , Haoshu Lyu

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

We propose to represent a return model and risk model in a unified manner with deep learning, which is a representative model that can express a nonlinear relationship. Although deep learning performs quite well, it has significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Kei Nakagawa , Takumi Uchida , Tomohisa Aoshima

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a framework to jointly identify similar assets through factors, identify mispricing and form a trading policy that maximizes risk-adjusted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Rose Wang , Jaewon Choi , Markus Pelger

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

High-dimensional measurements are often correlated which motivates their approximation by factor models. This holds also true when features are engineered via low-dimensional interactions or kernel tricks. This often results in over…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Xiaonan Zhu , Bingyan Wang , Jianqing Fan

Precisely forecasting the excess returns of an asset (e.g., Tesla stock) is beneficial to all investors. However, the unpredictability of market dynamics, influenced by human behaviors, makes this a challenging task. In prior research,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Jingjing Guo

This study proposes a behaviorally-informed multi-factor stock selection framework that integrates short-cycle technical alpha signals with deep learning. We design a dual-task multilayer perceptron (MLP) that jointly predicts five-day…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-21 Yuqi Luan

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi
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