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We address the problem of data augmentation in a rotating turbulence set-up, a paradigmatic challenge in geophysical applications. The goal is to reconstruct information in two-dimensional (2D) cuts of the three-dimensional flow fields,…

Diffusion models are a powerful tool for probabilistic forecasting, yet most applications in high-dimensional complex systems predict future states individually. This approach struggles to model complex temporal dependencies and fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Salva Rühling Cachay , Miika Aittala , Karsten Kreis , Noah Brenowitz , Arash Vahdat , Morteza Mardani , Rose Yu

In recent years, diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for generating ensemble members in meteorology. In this work, we demonstrate how a Denoising Diffusion Implicit Model (DDIM) can effectively control ensemble variance by…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-15 Fabio Merizzi , Davide Evangelista , Harilaos Loukos

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models now surpass state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction systems, but training and operating these models at high spatial resolution remains computationally expensive. We present a modular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Aymeric Delefosse , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

We may anticipate that climate change will bring changes to the intensity and variability of near surface winds, either through local effects or by altering the large-scale flow. The impact of climate change on European wind resources has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Richard Davy , Natalia Gnatiuk , Lasse Pettersson , Leonid Bobylev

By formulating data samples' formation as a Markov denoising process, diffusion models achieve state-of-the-art performances in a collection of tasks. Recently, many variants of diffusion models have been proposed to enable controlled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Hengtong Zhang , Tingyang Xu

Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful method in various applications. However, their application to Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting (STELF) -- a typical scenario in energy systems -- remains largely unexplored. Considering the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Ling Zhou , Dave Towey , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

The generation and enhancement of satellite imagery are critical in remote sensing, requiring high-quality, detailed images for accurate analysis. This research introduces a two-stage diffusion model methodology for synthesizing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Ahmad Sebaq , Mohamed ElHelw

Long-term planning of a robust power system requires the understanding of changing demand patterns. Electricity demand is highly weather sensitive. Thus, the supply side variation from introducing intermittent renewable sources, juxtaposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Reshmi Ghosh , Michael Craig , H. Scott Matthews , Constantine Samaras , Laure Berti-Equille

Surface solar irradiance (SSI) plays a crucial role in tackling climate change - as an abundant, non-fossil energy source, exploited primarily via photovoltaic (PV) energy production. With the growing contribution of SSI to total energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-20 Alberto Carpentieri , Doris Folini , Jussi Leinonen , Angela Meyer

Flood prediction is critical for emergency planning and response to mitigate human and economic losses. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic models generate high-resolution flood maps using numerical methods requiring fine-grid…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Sun Han Neo , Sachith Seneviratne , Herath Mudiyanselage Viraj Vidura Herath , Abhishek Saha , Sanka Rasnayaka , Lucy Amanda Marshall

With a potentially increasing share of the electricity grid relying on wind to provide generating capacity and energy, there is an expanding global need for historically accurate, spatiotemporally continuous, high-resolution wind data.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Brandon N. Benton , Grant Buster , Pavlo Pinchuk , Andrew Glaws , Ryan N. King , Galen Maclaurin , Ilya Chernyakhovskiy

The transition to green energy grids depends on detailed wind and solar forecasts to optimize the siting and scheduling of renewable energy generation. Operational forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, however, only have a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Rupa Kurinchi-Vendhan , Björn Lütjens , Ritwik Gupta , Lucien Werner , Dava Newman

Power system cyber-physical uncertainties, including measurement ambiguities stemming from cyber attacks and data losses, along with system uncertainties introduced by massive renewables and complex dynamics, reduce the likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Jianhua Pei , Jingyu Wang , Dongyuan Shi , Ping Wang

Cloud removal (CR) remains a challenging task in remote sensing image processing. Although diffusion models (DM) exhibit strong generative capabilities, their direct applications to CR are suboptimal, as they generate cloudless images from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Yi Liu , Wengen Li , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou , Yichao Zhang

Climate change impacts a broad spectrum of human resources and activities, necessitating the use of climate models to project long-term effects and inform mitigation and adaptation strategies. These models generate multiple datasets by…

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

The transition to intelligent, low-carbon power systems necessitates advanced optimization strategies for managing renewable energy integration, energy storage, and carbon emissions. Generative Large Models (GLMs) provide a data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-07 Lu Cheng , Qixiu Zhang , Beibei Xu , Zhiwei Huang , Cirun Zhang , Yanan Lyu , Fan Zhang
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