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This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber

In todays age of data, discovering relationships between different variables is an interesting and a challenging problem. This problem becomes even more critical with regards to complex dynamical systems like weather forecasting and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-01 Sachin Kasture

We present here a modification of the Lagrangian measures technique, which allows a reliable detection of interdependency among simultaneous measurements of different variables. This method is applied to a simulated multivariate time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guillermo J. Ortega , Diego A. Golombek

Inferring the coupling direction from measured time series of complex systems is challenging. We propose a new state space based causality measure obtained from cross-distance vectors for quantifying interaction strength. It is a model-free…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-04 Martin Brešar , Pavle Boškoski

We consider the limitations of two techniques for detecting nonlinearity in time series. The first technique compares the original time series to an ensemble of surrogate time series that are constructed to mimic the linear properties of…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 James Theiler , Paul S. Linsay , David M. Rubin

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Correlation remains to be one of the most widely used statistical tools for assessing the strength of relationships between data series. This paper presents a novel compositional correlation method for detecting linear and nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Fatih Dikbas

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

Knowledge about existence, strength, and dominant direction of causal influences is of paramount importance for understanding complex systems. With limited amounts of realistic data, however, current methods for investigating causal links…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-20 Erik Laminski , Klaus R. Pawelzik

Identifying causal relationships from observational time series data is a key problem in disciplines such as climate science or neuroscience, where experiments are often not possible. Data-driven causal inference is challenging since…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Jakob Runge , Peer Nowack , Marlene Kretschmer , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic

Nonlinear time series analysis is an active field of research that studies the structure of complex signals in order to derive information of the process that generated those series, for understanding, modeling and forecasting purposes. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Lucas Lacasa , Raul Toral

In order to extract hidden joint information from two possibly uncorrelated time-series, we explored the measures of network science. Alongside common methods in time-series analysis of the economic markets, mapping the joint structure of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Jamshid Ardalankia , Jafar Askari , Somaye Sheykhali , Emmanuel Haven , G. Reza Jafari

Many systems exhibit complex temporal dynamics due to the presence of different processes taking place simultaneously. An important task in such systems is to extract a simplified view of their time-dependent network of interactions.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-23 Alexandre Bovet , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Renaud Lambiotte

A method for testing nonlinearity in time series is described based on information-theoretic functionals -- redundancies, linear and nonlinear forms of which allow either qualitative, or, after incorporating the surrogate data technique,…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Milan PALUS

We test recent claims that causal (driver/response) relationships can be deduced from interdependencies between simultaneously measured time series. We apply two recently proposed interdependence measures which should give similar results…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Quian Quiroga , J. Arnhold , P. Grassberger

Distinguishability and, by extension, observability are key properties of dynamical systems. Establishing these properties is challenging, especially when no analytical model is available and they are to be inferred directly from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-10 Pierre-François Massiani , Mona Buisson-Fenet , Friedrich Solowjow , Florent Di Meglio , Sebastian Trimpe

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

In this work we consider two models of two dimensional discrete systems subjected to three different types of coupling and analyse systematically the performance of each in realising synchronised states.We find that linear coupling…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 G Ambika , K Ambika

Identifying causal relationships is a challenging yet crucial problem in many fields of science like epidemiology, climatology, ecology, genomics, economics and neuroscience, to mention only a few. Recent studies have demonstrated that…

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