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A data-driven algorithm is proposed that employs sparse data from velocity and/or scalar sensors to forecast the future evolution of three dimensional turbulent flows. The algorithm combines time-delayed embedding together with Koopman…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-04 George Papadakis , Shengqi Lu

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

This article presents a rigorous analysis for efficient statistically accurate algorithms for solving the Fokker-Planck equations associated with high-dimensional nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems with conditional Gaussian structures.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

This work introduces a novel nonlinear optimal filtering method, termed the Ensemble Schr{\"o}dinger Bridge nonlinear filter. The proposed filter combines the standard prediction step with a diffusion-generative-modeling-based analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hui Sun

Multilayer (or deep) networks are powerful probabilistic models based on multiple stages of a linear transform followed by a non-linear (possibly random) function. In general, the linear transforms are defined by matrices and the non-linear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-13 Galen Reeves

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

In this work, we consider a state estimation problem for large-scale nonlinear processes in the absence of first-principles process models. By exploiting process operation data, both process modeling and state estimation design are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-11 Xiaojie Li , Song Bo , Xuewen Zhang , Yan Qin , Xunyuan Yin

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

Estimating the statistics of the state of a dynamical system, from partial and noisy observations, is both mathematically challenging and finds wide application. Furthermore, the applications are of great societal importance, including…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

This work presents a fast, uncertainty-aware sequential data assimilation framework for estimating key aerodynamic states (e.g., instantaneous vorticity fields and aerodynamic loads) during severe gust encounters, where vortex-gust…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-20 Hanieh Mousavi , Anya Jones , Jeff Eldredge

Accurate estimation of error covariances (both background and observation) is crucial for efficient observation compression approaches in data assimilation of large-scale dynamical problems. We propose a new combination of a covariance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Sibo Cheng , Didier Lucor , Jean-Philippe Argaud

A multi-fidelity regression model is proposed for combining multiple datasets with different fidelities, particularly abundant low-fidelity data and scarce high-fidelity observations. The model builds upon recent multi-fidelity frameworks…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-21 Mohammad Hossein Saadat

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations is a ubiquitous problem in a large number of applications, such as probabilistic weather forecasting and prediction of epidemics. Particle filters are a widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 E. Calvello , J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , P. Monmarché , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

Reduced rank nonlinear filters are increasingly utilized in data assimilation of geophysical flows, but often require a set of ensemble forward simulations to estimate forecast covariance. On the other hand, predictor-corrector type nudging…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Suraj Pawar , Shady E. Ahmed , Omer San , Adil Rasheed , Ionel M. Navon

Data assimilation (DA) is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications, combining model forecasts with sparse and noisy observations to estimate latent system states. Classical high-dimensional DA methods, such as the ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Martin Andrae , Erik Wikingsson , So Takao , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

We consider a stabilized nonconforming finite element method for data assimilation in incompressible flow subject to the Stokes' equations. The method uses a primal dual structure that allows for the inclusion of nonstandard data. Error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Erik Burman , Peter Hansbo
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