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This paper introduces a methodology leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) for sector-level portfolio allocation through systematic analysis of macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment. Our framework emphasizes top-down sector…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Ryan Quek Wei Heng , Edoardo Vittori , Keane Ong , Rui Mao , Erik Cambria , Gianmarco Mengaldo

In financial asset management, choosing a portfolio requires balancing returns, risk, exposure, liquidity, volatility and other factors. These concerns are difficult to compare explicitly, with many asset managers using an intuitive or…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Kevin Tee , Michael McCourt , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Ian Dewancker , Frank Liu

For a long investment time horizon, it is preferable to rebalance the portfolio weights at intermediate times. This necessitates a multi-period market model in which portfolio optimization is usually done through dynamic programming.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Shubhangi Sikaria , Rituparna Sen , Neelesh S. Upadhye

Propose a deep learning driven multi factor investment model optimization method for risk control. By constructing a deep learning model based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and combining it with a multi factor investment model, we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-02 Ruisi Li , Xinhui Gu

Reinforcement learning (RL) based investment strategies have been widely adopted in portfolio management (PM) in recent years. Nevertheless, most RL-based approaches may often emphasize on pursuing returns while ignoring the risks of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-13 Zhenglong Li , Hejun Huang , Vincent Tam

This paper examines two different yet related questions related to explainable AI (XAI) practices. Machine learning (ML) is increasingly important in financial services, such as pre-approval, credit underwriting, investments, and various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Swati Tyagi

In recent decades, companies have frequently adopted share repurchase programs to return capital to shareholders or for other strategic purposes, instructing investment banks to rapidly buy back shares on their behalf. When the executing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Stefano Corti , Roberto Daluiso , Andrea Pallavicini

Individual investors are now massively using online brokers to trade stocks with convenient interfaces and low fees, albeit losing the advice and personalization traditionally provided by full-service brokers. We frame the problem faced by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Robin Swezey , Bruno Charron

Large-scale prediction models using tools from artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning (ML) are increasingly common across a variety of industries and scientific domains. Despite their effectiveness, training AI and ML tools at…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Jeff Leek , Tyler McCormick

Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach concerned with solving dynamic optimization problems in an almost model-free way by maximizing a reward function in state and action spaces. This property makes it an exciting area of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-12 Miquel Noguer i Alonso , Sonam Srivastava

The field of artificial intelligence (AI) agents is evolving rapidly, driven by the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) to autonomously perform and refine tasks with human-like efficiency and adaptability. In this context,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-18 Tianjiao Zhao , Jingrao Lyu , Stokes Jones , Harrison Garber , Stefano Pasquali , Dhagash Mehta

The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Prabhu Prasad Panda , Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Xilin Chen , Haoshu Lyu

Machine learning is central to empirical asset pricing, but portfolio construction still relies on point predictions and largely ignores asset-specific estimation uncertainty. We propose a simple change: sort assets using…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Yan Liu , Ye Luo , Zigan Wang , Xiaowei Zhang

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

Events such as the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 or the COVID-19 pandemic caused significant losses to banks and insurance entities. They also demonstrated the importance of using accurate equity risk models and having a risk management…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-28 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

The mechanical properties of a material are intimately related to its microstructure. This is particularly important for predicting mechanical behavior of polycrystalline metals, where microstructural variations dictate the expected…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-01-23 Yejun Gu , Christopher D. Stiles , Jaafar A. El-Awady

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

Traditional portfolio management methods can incorporate specific investor preferences but rely on accurate forecasts of asset returns and covariances. Reinforcement learning (RL) methods do not rely on these explicit forecasts and are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-23 Ruan Pretorius , Terence van Zyl

Hyper-parameters (HPs) are an important part of machine learning (ML) model development and can greatly influence performance. This paper studies their behavior for three algorithms: Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair
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