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Related papers: Self-Exciting Random Evolutions (SEREs) and their …

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The Hawkes self-excited point process provides an efficient representation of the bursty intermittent dynamics of many physical, biological, geological and economic systems. By expressing the probability for the next event per unit time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-23 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

Stochastic models for collections of interacting populations have crucial roles in scientific fields such as epidemiology and ecology, yet the standard approach to extending an ordinary differential equation model to a Markov chain does not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

Spike-sorting techniques attempt to classify a series of noisy electrical waveforms according to the identity of the neurons that generated them. Existing techniques perform this classification ignoring several properties of actual neurons…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Christophe Pouzat

We study a variant of the Generalized Excited Random Walk (GERW) on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ introduced by Menshikov, Popov, Ram\'irez and Vachkovskaia in [Ann. Probab. 40 (5), 2012]. It consists of a particular version of the model studied in [arXiv…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Rodrigo B. Alves , Giulio Iacobelli , Glauco Valle , Leonel Zuaznábar

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic process obtained by random switching between a finite collection of vector fields. Such processes have recently been the focus of much attention in the case where the switching times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Tobias Hurth , Edouard Strickler

We present a class of SEIR Markov chain models for infectious diseases observed over discrete time in a random human population living in a closed environment. The population changes over time through random births, deaths, and transitions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-30 Divine Wanduku , Chinmoy Rahul

Masked language modeling, widely used in discriminative language model (e.g., BERT) pretraining, commonly adopts a random masking strategy. However, random masking does not consider the importance of the different words in the sentence…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Qihuang Zhong , Liang Ding , Juhua Liu , Bo Du , Dacheng Tao

Self-exciting processes of Hawkes type have been used to model various phenomena including earthquakes, neural activities, and views of online videos. Studies of temporal networks have revealed that sequences of social interevent times for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Naoki Masuda , Taro Takaguchi , Nobuo Sato , Kazuo Yano

We introduce and develop the concept of Maximal Entropy Random Walks (MERWs) on Weighted Bratteli Diagrams (WBDs), maximizing entropy production along paths as a natural criterion for choosing random walks on networks. Initially defined for…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Yoann Offret , Sergey Dovgal

The problem of making sequential decisions in unknown probabilistic environments is studied. In cycle $t$ action $y_t$ results in perception $x_t$ and reward $r_t$, where all quantities in general may depend on the complete history. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

The rapid growth of social media has been witnessed during recent years as a result of the prevalence of the internet. This trend brings an increasing interest in simulating social media which can provide valuable insights to both academic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Ao Qu , Ismael Lemhadri

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler , Eva Löcherbach

Branching Processes in a Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are a generalization of Galton Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. We determine here the upper large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-09 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

We investigate a model of evolving random network, introduced by us previously {[}{\it Phys. Rev. Lett.} {\bf 83}, 5587 (1999){]} . The model is a generalization of the Bak-Sneppen model of biological evolution, with the modification that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Frantisek Slanina , Miroslav Kotrla

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

The self-avoiding random walk (SARW) is a stochastic process whose state variable avoids returning to previously visited states. This non-Markovian feature has turned SARWs a powerful tool for modelling a plethora of relevant aspects in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-25 Gaia Colombani , Giulia Bertagnolli , Oriol Artime

Extreme-value theory for random vectors and stochastic processes with continuous trajectories is usually formulated for random objects all of whose univariate marginal distributions are identical. In the spirit of Sklar's theorem from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

We develop a stochastic human-rodent compartment model for Mpox transmission that combines diffusion noise with Hawkes self-exciting jumps in the human infection dynamics. Including Hawkes processes allows, for instance, to model the short…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Giulia Di Nunno , Nicola Giordano , Barbara Martinucci , Olena Tymoshenko

We consider a sequence of Hawkes processes whose excitation measures may depend on the generation, and study its scaling limits in the near-unstable limiting regime. The limiting random measures, characterized via a nonlinear convolutional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tristan Pace , Gordan Zitkovic

We study symmetric simple exclusion processes (SSEP) on a ring in the presence of uniformly moving multiple defects or disorders - a generalization of the model proposed earlier [Phys. Rev. E 89, 022138 (2014)]. The defects move with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-21 Rakesh Chatterjee , Sakuntala Chatterjee , Punyabrata Pradhan