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Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Uncertainty quantification of machine learning and deep learning methods plays an important role in enhancing trust to the obtained result. In recent years, a numerous number of uncertainty quantification methods have been introduced. Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Afshar Shamsi , Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , AmirReza Tajally , Saeid Nahavandi , Henry Leung

In the past years, deep learning has seen an increase in usage in the domain of histopathological applications. However, while these approaches have shown great potential, in high-risk environments deep learning models need to be able to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-17 Hendrik A. Mehrtens , Alexander Kurz , Tabea-Clara Bucher , Titus J. Brinker

Variable stars play a key role in understanding the Milky Way and the universe. The era of astronomical big data presents new challenges for quick identification of interesting and important variable stars. Accurately estimating the periods…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-21 Xiao-Hui Xu , Qing-Feng Zhu , Xu-Zhi Li , Bin Li , Hang Zheng , Jin-Sheng Qiu , Hai-Bin Zhao

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Obtaining reliable and accurate quantification of uncertainty estimates from deep neural networks is important in safety-critical applications. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction and indicate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Ranganath Krishnan , Omesh Tickoo

Accurate uncertainty estimation is crucial for deploying neural networks in risk-sensitive applications such as medical diagnosis. Monte Carlo Dropout is a widely used technique for approximating predictive uncertainty by performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Tal Zeevi , Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Yann LeCun , Lawrence H. Staib , John A. Onofrey

Deep neural networks have become the gold-standard approach for the automated segmentation of 3D medical images. Their full acceptance by clinicians remains however hampered by the lack of intelligible uncertainty assessment of the provided…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-23 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Alan Tucholka , Michel Dojat

Uncertainty assessment has gained rapid interest in medical image analysis. A popular technique to compute epistemic uncertainty is the Monte-Carlo (MC) dropout technique. From a network with MC dropout and a single input, multiple outputs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Robin Camarasa , Daniel Bos , Jeroen Hendrikse , Paul Nederkoorn , M. Eline Kooi , Aad van der Lugt , Marleen de Bruijne

Handling missing data is a central challenge in data-driven analysis. Modern imputation methods not only aim for accurate reconstruction but also differ in how they represent and quantify uncertainty. Yet, the reliability and calibration of…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Zarin Tahia Hossain , Mostafa Milani

In many computer vision classification tasks, class priors at test time often differ from priors on the training set. In the case of such prior shift, classifiers must be adapted correspondingly to maintain close to optimal performance.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Tomas Sipka , Milan Sulc , Jiri Matas

Detection Transformer (DETR) and its variants show strong performance on object detection, a key task for autonomous systems. However, a critical limitation of these models is that their confidence scores only reflect semantic uncertainty,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Yutong Yang , Katarina Popović , Julian Wiederer , Markus Braun , Vasileios Belagiannis , Bin Yang

Atlas-based methods are the standard approaches for automatic targeting of the Anterior Nucleus of the Thalamus (ANT) for Deep Brain Stimulation (DBS), but these are known to lack robustness when anatomic differences between atlases and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-05 Han Liu , Can Cui , Dario J. Englot , Benoit M. Dawant

Terrain Classification is an essential task in space exploration, where unpredictable environments are difficult to observe using only exteroceptive sensors such as vision. Implementing Neural Network classifiers can have high performance…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Mariela De Lucas Álvarez , Jichen Guo , Raul Domínguez , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

We present a practical implementation of a Monte Carlo method to estimate the significance of cross-correlations in unevenly sampled time series of data, whose statistical properties are modeled with a simple power-law power spectral…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 W. Max-Moerbeck , J. L. Richards , T. Hovatta , V. Pavlidou , T. J. Pearson , A. C. S. Readhead

Computer vision leveraging deep learning has achieved significant success in the last decade. Despite the promising performance of the existing deep models in the recent literature, the extent of models' reliability remains unknown.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Gustaf Ahdritz , Aravind Gollakota , Parikshit Gopalan , Charlotte Peale , Udi Wieder

Classification will be an important first step for upcoming surveys that will detect billions of new sources such as LSST and Euclid, as well as DESI, 4MOST and MOONS. The application of traditional methods of model fitting and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-01-29 Crispin Logan , Sotiria Fotopoulou
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