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Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

In recent years, Artificial Intelligence Weather Prediction (AIWP) models have achieved performance comparable to, or even surpassing, traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models by leveraging reanalysis data. However, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Pengcheng Zhao , Jiang Bian , Zekun Ni , Weixin Jin , Jonathan Weyn , Zuliang Fang , Siqi Xiang , Haiyu Dong , Bin Zhang , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang

In this paper, we investigate meta-learning for combining forecasts generated by models of different types. While typical approaches for combining forecasts involve simple averaging, machine learning techniques enable more sophisticated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Grzegorz Dudek

In this paper, we introduce Masked Multi-Step Multivariate Forecasting (MMMF), a novel and general self-supervised learning framework for time series forecasting with known future information. In many real-world forecasting scenarios, some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Yiwei Fu , Honggang Wang , Nurali Virani

Recently, artificial intelligence-based (AI-based) models for forecasting of global weather have been rapidly developed. Most of the global models are trained on reanalysis datasets with a spatial resolution of 0.25{\deg}*0.25{\deg}.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Pengbo Xu , Xiaogu Zheng , Tianyan Gao , Yu Wang , Junping Yin , Juan Zhang , Xuanze Zhang , San Luo , Zhonglei Wang , Zhimin Zhang , Xiaoguang Hu , Xiaoxu Chen

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Accurate traffic prediction plays a vital role in intelligent transportation systems by enabling efficient routing, congestion mitigation, and proactive traffic control. However, forecasting is challenging due to the combined effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Mohamed Hamad , Mohamed Mabrok , Nizar Zorba

Advanced weather and climate models use numerical techniques on grided meshes to simulate atmospheric and ocean dynamics, which are computationally expensive. Data-driven approaches are gaining popularity in weather and climate modeling,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-14 Animesh Choudhury , Jagabandhu Panda , Asmita Mukherjee

Across various research domains, remotely-sensed weather products are valuable for answering many scientific questions; however, their temporal and spatial resolutions are often too coarse to answer many questions. For instance, in wildlife…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-02 Enis Berk Çoban , Megan Perra , Michael I. Mandel

The beginning of the rainy season and the occurrence of dry spells in West Africa is notoriously difficult to predict, however these are the key indicators farmers use to decide when to plant crops, having a major influence on their overall…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-11 Colin Bobocea , Yves Atchadé

Traditional machine learning techniques have achieved great success in improving data-rate performance and reducing latency in millimeter wave (mmWave) communications. However, these methods still face two key challenges: (i) their reliance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Yuwen Cao , Wenqin Lu , Tomoaki Ohtsuki , Setareh Maghsudi , Xue-Qin Jiang , Charalampos C. Tsimenidis

In an era of frequent extreme weather and global warming, obtaining precise, fine-grained near-surface weather forecasts is increasingly essential for human activities. Downscaling (DS), a crucial task in meteorological forecasting, enables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-21 Zili Liu , Hao Chen , Lei Bai , Wenyuan Li , Wanli Ouyang , Zhengxia Zou , Zhenwei Shi

Robust generalization under climate change remains a major challenge for machine learning applications in climate science. Most existing approaches struggle to extrapolate beyond the climate they were trained on, leading to a strong…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Shuchang Liu , Paul A. O'Gorman

An exponential growth in computing power, which has brought more sophisticated and higher resolution simulations of the climate system, and an exponential increase in observations since the first weather satellite was put in orbit, are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-20 Annalisa Bracco , Julien Brajard , Henk A. Dijkstra , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Christian Lessig , Claire Monteleoni

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Zero-shot forecasting aims to predict outcomes for previously unseen conditions without direct historical data, posing a significant challenge for traditional forecasting methods. We introduce a Resolution-Aware Retrieval-Augmented…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Iman Deznabi , Peeyush Kumar , Madalina Fiterau

The Southwestern South Atlantic (SWSA) is a key region for climate research and renewable energy assessment, yet high-resolution meteorological data are scarce. We present a multiresolution dataset spanning February 2017--November 2018,…