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Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

Predicting high-dimensional dynamical systems with irregular time steps presents significant challenges for current data-driven algorithms. These irregularities arise from missing data, sparse observations, or adaptive computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Kewei Zhu , Yanze Xin , Jinwei Hu , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yiming Yang , Sibo Cheng

Dynamical four-point susceptibilities measure the extent of spatial correlations in the dynamics of glass forming systems. We show how these susceptibilities depend on the length scales that necessarily form part of their definition. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Chandler , Juan P. Garrahan , Robert L. Jack , Lutz Maibaum , Albert C. Pan

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Elnaz Bashir , Jiali Wang , Lin Yan

Finite-size scaling is a key tool in statistical physics, used to infer critical behavior in finite systems. Here we use the analogous concept of finite-time scaling to describe the bifurcation diagram at finite times in discrete dynamical…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-04-12 Alvaro Corral , Lluis Alseda , Josep Sardanyes

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

A simple and low cost dynamic weight importance sampling (DWIS) implementation is presented and discussed for spatiotemporal sensing of unknown correlated signals in sensor field. The spatial signal is compressed into its contour lines and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-23 Hadi Alasti

Considering deterministic classical lattice systems with continuous variables, we show that, if the initial conditions are sampled according to a probability distribution in which the dynamical variables are statistically independent, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-29 Nicolas Nessi , Peter Reimann

Explaining online time series monitoring models is crucial across sensitive domains such as healthcare and finance, where temporal and contextual prediction dynamics underpin critical decisions. While recent XAI methods have improved the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Changhun Kim , Yechan Mun , Hyeongwon Jang , Eunseo Lee , Sangchul Hahn , Eunho Yang

This chapter is about Complexity and Spatial Dynamics in Urban Systems. Strong inequalities in the size of cities and the apparent difficulty of limiting their growth raise practical issues for spatial planning. At a time when new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-29 Juste Raimbault , Denise Pumain

Temporal data, notably time series and spatio-temporal data, are prevalent in real-world applications. They capture dynamic system measurements and are produced in vast quantities by both physical and virtual sensors. Analyzing these data…

Changing climate signals and the continuous world population growth requires proper hydrologic risk analysis to build and operate water resource infrastructures in a sustainable way. Although modernized computational facilities are becoming…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-08-30 Victor Peñaranda , David Serrano , Mahesh Maskey

Stochastic dynamical systems arise naturally across nearly all areas of science and engineering. Typically, a dynamical system model is based on some prior knowledge about the underlying dynamics of interest in which probabilistic features…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Chao Yin , Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

We consider complex dynamical systems showing metastable behavior but no local separation of fast and slow time scales. The article raises the question of whether such systems exhibit a low-dimensional manifold supporting its effective…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Andreas Bittracher , Péter Koltai , Stefan Klus , Ralf Banisch , Michael Dellnitz , Christof Schütte

We show that, when music pieces are cast in the form of time series of pitch variations, the concepts and tools of dynamical systems theory can be applied to the analysis of {\it temporal dynamics} in music. (i) Phase space portraits are…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 Jean Pierre Boon , Olivier Decroly

Spatial-temporal data modeling aims to mine the underlying spatial relationships and temporal dependencies of objects in a system. However, most existing methods focus on the modeling of spatial-temporal data in a single mode, lacking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Zihang Liu , Le Yu , Tongyu Zhu , Leiei Sun

Modeling and predicting the dynamics of complex multiscale systems remains a significant challenge due to their inherent nonlinearities and sensitivity to initial conditions, as well as limitations of traditional machine learning methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Elias Al Ghazal , Jad Mounayer , Beatriz Moya , Sebastian Rodriguez , Chady Ghnatios , Francisco Chinesta

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu