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To simplify mathematical models of disease spread, we often assume equal contact rates among hosts, but real-world scenarios differ. Network-based frameworks help capture these complexities and structural variations in actual systems. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Saswata Das , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Caterina Scoglio

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen

Weak ties play a significant role in the structures and the dynamics of community networks. Based on the susceptible-infected model in contact process, we study numerically how weak ties influence the predictability of epidemic dynamics. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-05 Panpan Shu , Ming Tang , Kai Gong , Ying Liu

In the study of infectious diseases on networks, researchers calculate epidemic thresholds to help forecast whether a disease will eventually infect a large fraction of a population. Because network structure typically changes in time,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Qinyi Chen , Mason A. Porter

In epidemiological modelling, dynamics on networks, and in particular adaptive and heterogeneous networks have recently received much interest. Here we present a detailed analysis of a previously proposed model that combines heterogeneity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-21 Hui Yang , Tim Rogers , Thilo Gross

Many complex networks are known to exhibit sudden transitions between alternative steady states with contrasting properties. Such a sudden transition demonstrates a network's resilience, which is the ability of a system to persist in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-02-24 Subhendu Bhandary , Taranjot Kaur , Tanmoy Banerjee , Partha Sharathi Dutta

Random Threshold Networks with sparse, asymmetric connections show complex dynamical behavior similar to Random Boolean Networks, with a transition from ordered to chaotic dynamics at a critical average connectivity $K_c$. In this type of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Thimo Rohlf , Stefan Bornholdt

We investigate the avalanche temporal statistics of the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model when the dynamics is critical and takes place on finite random networks. By considering numerical simulations on annealed topologies we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-23 Daniele Notarmuzi , Alessandro Flammini , Claudio Castellano , Filippo Radicchi

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

Traditional disease transmission models assume that the infectious period is exponentially distributed with a recovery rate fixed in time and across individuals. This assumption provides analytical and computational advantages, however it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-30 Laura Di Domenico , Eugenio Valdano , Vittoria Colizza

Multi-layered networks represent a major advance in the description of natural complex systems, and their study has shed light on new physical phenomena. Despite its importance, however, the role of the temporal dimension in their structure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Michele Starnini , Andrea Baronchelli , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Networks of financial exposures are the key propagators of risk and distress among banks, but their empirical structure is not publicly available because of confidentiality. This limitation has triggered the development of methods of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-07 Valentina Macchiati , Piero Mazzarisi , Diego Garlaschelli

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Most social, technological and biological networks are embedded in a finite dimensional space, and the distance between two nodes influences the likelihood that they link to each other. Indeed, in social systems, the chance that two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-27 Paul Balister , Chaoming Song , Oliver Riordan , Bela Bollobas , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

Our current world is linked by a complex mesh of networks where information, people and goods flow. These networks are interdependent each other, and present structural and dynamical features different from those observed in isolated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-13 Filippo Radicchi , Alex Arenas

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov