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Masked diffusion models (MDMs) have emerged as a promising approach for language modeling, yet they face a performance gap compared to autoregressive models (ARMs) and require more training iterations. In this work, we present the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Mahdi Karami , Ali Ghodsi

We introduce Autoregressive Diffusion Models (ARDMs), a model class encompassing and generalizing order-agnostic autoregressive models (Uria et al., 2014) and absorbing discrete diffusion (Austin et al., 2021), which we show are special…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Emiel Hoogeboom , Alexey A. Gritsenko , Jasmijn Bastings , Ben Poole , Rianne van den Berg , Tim Salimans

The task of video generation requires synthesizing visually realistic and temporally coherent video frames. Existing methods primarily use asynchronous auto-regressive models or synchronous diffusion models to address this challenge.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Mingzhen Sun , Weining Wang , Gen Li , Jiawei Liu , Jiahui Sun , Wanquan Feng , Shanshan Lao , SiYu Zhou , Qian He , Jing Liu

Diffusion models achieve remarkable success in processing images and text, and have been extended to special domains such as time series forecasting (TSF). Existing diffusion-based approaches for TSF primarily focus on modeling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Yan Song

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling tasks across various domains. Prior works on time series diffusion models have primarily focused on developing conditional models tailored to specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Marcel Kollovieh , Abdul Fatir Ansari , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Jasper Zschiegner , Hao Wang , Yuyang Wang

While time series diffusion models have received considerable focus from many recent works, the performance of existing models remains highly unstable. Factors limiting time series diffusion models include insufficient time series datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jingwei Liu , Ling Yang , Hongyan Li , Shenda Hong

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

Motion prediction is a challenging problem in autonomous driving as it demands the system to comprehend stochastic dynamics and the multi-modal nature of real-world agent interactions. Diffusion models have recently risen to prominence, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Jiahui Li , Tianle Shen , Zekai Gu , Jiawei Sun , Chengran Yuan , Yuhang Han , Shuo Sun , Marcelo H. Ang

Recent advancements in video generation have demonstrated the potential of using video diffusion models as world models, with autoregressive generation of infinitely long videos through masked conditioning. However, such models, usually…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Taiye Chen , Zihan Ding , Anjian Li , Christina Zhang , Zeqi Xiao , Yisen Wang , Chi Jin

We propose a Weighted Autoregressive Varying gatE (WAVE) attention mechanism equipped with both Autoregressive (AR) and Moving-average (MA) components. It can adapt to various attention mechanisms, enhancing and decoupling their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Motion prediction has been studied in different contexts with models trained on narrow distributions and applied to downstream tasks in human motion prediction and robotics. Simultaneously, recent efforts in scaling video prediction have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Johnathan Xie , Stefan Stojanov , Cristobal Eyzaguirre , Daniel L. K. Yamins , Jiajun Wu

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in data mining, driving rapid advancements across numerous industries. With the emergence of large models, time series foundation models (TSFMs) have exhibited remarkable generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Huanyu Zhang , Chang Xu , Yi-Fan Zhang , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Jiang Bian , Tieniu Tan

In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

Recently, denoising diffusion models have led to significant breakthroughs in the generation of images, audio and text. However, it is still an open question on how to adapt their strong modeling ability to model time series. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Lifeng Shen , James Kwok

Existing long-term video prediction methods often rely on an autoregressive video prediction mechanism. However, this approach suffers from error propagation, particularly in distant future frames. To address this limitation, this paper…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Woonho Ko , Jin Bok Park , Il Yong Chun

Advances in diffusion models for generative artificial intelligence have recently propagated to the time series (TS) domain, demonstrating state-of-the-art performance on various tasks. However, prior works on TS diffusion models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Seunghan Lee , Kibok Lee , Taeyoung Park

Recent studies suggest utilizing generative models instead of traditional auto-regressive algorithms for time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. These non-auto-regressive approaches involving different generative methods, including GAN,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jiangxuan Long , Zhao Song , Chiwun Yang

Despite advances in test-time scaling and diffusion finetuning, guidance for Auto-Regressive Diffusion Models (ARDMs) remains underexplored. We introduce an amortized framework that augments a pretrained ARDM with an offline-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Prakhar Srivastava , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Francesco Immorlano , Kushagra Pandey , Stephan Mandt

Diffusion models have achieved huge empirical success in data generation tasks. Recently, some efforts have been made to adapt the framework of diffusion models to discrete state space, providing a more natural approach for modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Hongrui Chen , Lexing Ying

In sequence-to-sequence Transformer ASR, autoregressive (AR) models achieve strong accuracy but suffer from slow decoding, while non-autoregressive (NAR) models enable parallel decoding at the cost of degraded performance. We propose a…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-26 Hao Yen , Pin-Jui Ku , Ante Jukić , Sabato Marco Siniscalchi
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