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We introduce new methods for phylogenetic tree quartet construction by using machine learning to optimize the power of phylogenetic invariants. Phylogenetic invariants are polynomials in the joint probabilities which vanish under a model of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Nicholas Eriksson , Yuan Yao

Diagnostic accuracy studies assess sensitivity and specificity of a new index test in relation to an established comparator or the reference standard. The development and selection of the index test is usually assumed to be conducted prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Max Westphal , Antonia Zapf

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Personality traits are latent variables, and as such, are impossible to measure without the use of an assessment. Responses on the assessments can be influenced by both transient (state-related) error and measurement error, obscuring the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-02 Amy E. Nussbaum , Cornelis J. Potgieter , Michael Chmielewski

Multi-model inference covers a wide range of modern statistical applications such as variable selection, model confidence set, model averaging and variable importance. The performance of multi-model inference depends on the availability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Ching-Wei Cheng , Guang Cheng

A phylogenetic variety is an algebraic variety parameterized by a statistical model of the evolution of biological sequences along a tree. Understanding this variety is an important problem in the area of algebraic statistics with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-22 Luis David Garcia Puente , Marina Garrote-López , Elima Shehu

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

We investigate a simple quantitative genetics model subjet to a gradual environmental change from the viewpoint of the phylogenies of the living individuals. We aim to understand better how the past traits of their ancestors are shaped by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Vincent Calvez , Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Choices in scientific research and management require balancing multiple, often competing objectives.Multiple-objective optimization (MOO) provides a unifying framework for solving multiple objective problems. Model selection is a critical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-26 Perry Williams , William Kendall , Mevin Hooten

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses;…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-23 Ezequiel Alvarez , Sean Benevedes , Manuel Szewc , Jesse Thaler

Beliefs inform the behavior of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-08 Jordan T Kemp , Max-Olivier Hongler , Olivier Gallay

We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

The bias-variance trade-off is a central concept in supervised learning. In classical statistics, increasing the complexity of a model (e.g., number of parameters) reduces bias but also increases variance. Until recently, it was commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-25 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

This paper develops a bias correction scheme for a multivariate normal model under a general parameterization. In the model, the mean vector and the covariance matrix share the same parameters. It includes many important regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-06 Alexandre G. Patriota , Artur J. Lemonte

Polymorphism in the peripheral sensory system (e.g., congenital individual differences in photopigment configuration) is important in diverse research fields, ranging from evolutionary biology to engineering, because of its potential…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-10 Satohiro Tajima

Genetic Programming has been very successful in solving a large area of problems but its use as a machine learning algorithm has been limited so far. One of the reasons is the problem of overfitting which cannot be solved or suppresed as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Jan Žegklitz , Petr Pošík

Multivariate meta-analysis (MMA) is a powerful tool for jointly estimating multiple outcomes' treatment effects. However, the validity of results from MMA is potentially compromised by outcome reporting bias (ORB), or the tendency for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 Ray Bai , Xiaokang Liu , Lifeng Lin , Yulun Liu , Stephen E. Kimmel , Haitao Chu , Yong Chen

Phylogenetic trees describe the relationships between species in the evolutionary process, and provide information about the rates of diversification. To understand the mechanisms behind macroevolution, we consider a class of multitype…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-07 Mingqi He , Sophie Hautphenne , Yao-ban Chan

The use of multiple Decision Models (DMs) enables to enhance the accuracy in decisions and at the same time allows users to evaluate the confidence in decision making. In this paper we explore the ability of multiple DMs to learn from a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-05-27 Vitaly Schetinin , Dayou Li , Carsten Maple