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An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

Gait recognition is a rapidly advancing vision technique for person identification from a distance. Prior studies predominantly employed relatively shallow networks to extract subtle gait features, achieving impressive successes in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Chao Fan , Saihui Hou , Yongzhen Huang , Shiqi Yu

This work addresses the problem of exploration in an unknown environment. For linear dynamical systems, we use an experimental design framework and introduce an online greedy policy where the control maximizes the information of the next…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-27 Matthieu Blanke , Marc Lelarge

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

Matrix completion, where we wish to recover a low rank matrix by observing a few entries from it, is a widely studied problem in both theory and practice with wide applications. Most of the provable algorithms so far on this problem have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-27 Chi Jin , Sham M. Kakade , Praneeth Netrapalli

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Sparsity-based representations have recently led to notable results in various visual recognition tasks. In a separate line of research, Riemannian manifolds have been shown useful for dealing with features and models that do not lie in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Mehrtash Harandi , Richard Hartley , Chunhua Shen , Brian Lovell , Conrad Sanderson

Given a multivariate big time series, can we detect anomalies as soon as they occur? Many existing works detect anomalies by learning how much a time series deviates away from what it should be in the reconstruction framework. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Quan Ding , Shenghua Liu , Bin Zhou , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng

The control of high-dimensional systems, such as soft robots, requires models that faithfully capture complex dynamics while remaining computationally tractable. This work presents a framework that integrates Graph Neural Network…

With the rapid advances of data acquisition techniques, spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly abundant in a diverse array of disciplines. Here we develop spatio-temporal regression methodology for analyzing large amounts of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Ting Fung Ma , Fangfang Wang , Jun Zhu , Anthony R. Ives , Katarzyna E. Lewińska

We study the tracking problem, namely, estimating the hidden state of an object over time, from unreliable and noisy measurements. The standard framework for the tracking problem is the generative framework, which is the basis of solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Kamalika Chaudhuri , Yoav Freund , Daniel Hsu

We study the problem of online tracking in unknown nonlinear dynamical systems, where only short-horizon predictions of future target states are available. This setting arises in practical scenarios where full future information and exact…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Chih-Fan Pai , Xu Shang , Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

We introduce a new method for high-dimensional, online changepoint detection in settings where a $p$-variate Gaussian data stream may undergo a change in mean. The procedure works by performing likelihood ratio tests against simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Yudong Chen , Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

We propose an approach for capturing the signal variability in hyperspectral imagery using the framework of the Grassmann manifold. Labeled points from each class are sampled and used to form abstract points on the Grassmannian. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-02-04 Sofya Chepushtanova , Michael Kirby

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

This paper proposes a novel online data-driven adaptive control for unknown linear time-varying systems. Initialized with an empirical feedback gain, the algorithm periodically updates this gain based on the data collected over a short time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-31 Shenyu Liu , Kaiwen Chen , Jaap Eising

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi