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We investigate what happens when an entire sample path of a smooth Gaussian process on a compact interval lies above a high level. Specifically, we determine the precise asymptotic probability of such an event, the extent to which the high…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

There has been a resurgence of interest in incomplete U-statistics that only sum over a subset of kernel evaluations, due to their computational efficiency and asymptotic normality which can be leveraged to quantify the uncertainty of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Dennis Leung

We give large-time asymptotic estimates, both in uniform and $L^1$ norms, for solutions of the Dirichlet heat equation in the complement of a bounded open set of $\mathbb{R}^d$ satisfying certain technical assumptions. We always assume that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-03-04 José A. Cañizo , Alejandro Gárriz , Fernando Quirós

Consider the random walk $S_n=\xi_1+...+\xi_n$ with independent and identically distributed increments and negative mean $\mathbf E\xi=-m<0$. Let $M=\sup_{0\le i} S_i$ be the supremum of the random walk. In this note we present derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We establish general estimates for simple random walk on an arbitrary infinite random graph, assuming suitable bounds on volume and effective resistance for the graph. These are generalizations of the results in \cite[Section 1,2]{BJKS},…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-01 Takashi Kumagai , Jun Misumi

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Let $K_n$ be the convex hull of i.i.d. random variables distributed according to the standard normal distribution on $\R^d$. We establish variance asymptotics as $n \to \infty$ for the re-scaled intrinsic volumes and $k$-face functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Pierre Calka , J. E. Yukich

The formulation of gauge theories on compact Riemannian manifolds with boundary leads to partial differential operators with Gilkey--Smith boundary conditions, whose peculiar property is the occurrence of both normal and tangential…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-04-15 Ivan G. Avramidi , Giampiero Esposito

We study some spectral properties of random walks on infinite countable amenable groups with an emphasis on locally finite groups, e.g. the infinite symmetric group. On locally finite groups, the random walks under consideration are driven…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Alexander Bendikov , Barbara Bobikau , Christophe Pittet

Let $X_i = {X_i(t), t \in T}$ be i.i.d. copies of a centered Gaussian process $X = {X(t), t \in T}$ with values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ defined on a separable metric space $T.$ It is supposed that $X$ is bounded. We consider the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Yu. Davydov

The relation between the expectation values computed in the random walk theory, and the heat kernel method for the diffusion equation is explained concretely. The random walk is also realized by simulations and their statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-21 Kenichiro Aoki , Takahisa Mitsui

A random flight on a plane with non-isotropic displacements at the moments of direction changes is considered. In the case of exponentially distributed flight lengths a Gaussian limit theorem is proved for the position of a particle in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mark Kelbert , Enzo Orsingher

We consider a random walk in random environment in the low disorder regime on $\mathbb Z^d$. That is, the probability that the random walk jumps from a site $x$ to a nearest neighboring site $x+e$ is given by $p(e)+\epsilon \xi(x,e)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 David Campos , Alejandro F. Ramirez

Higher criticism is a large-scale testing procedure that can attain the optimal detection boundary for sparse and faint signals. However, there has been a lack of knowledge in most existing works about its asymptotic distribution for more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jingkun Qiu

We consider Random Walk in Random Scenery, denoted $X_n$, where the random walk is symmetric on $Z^d$, with $d>4$, and the random field is made up of i.i.d random variables with a stretched exponential tail decay, with exponent $\alpha$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amine Asselah , Fabienne Castell

We consider the first exit time $\tau = \min \{n\ge 1 : S_n\le 0\}$ from the positive halfline of a random walk $S_n = \sum_1^n \xi_i, n\ge 1$ with i.d.d. summands having a negative drift ${\mathbb E} \xi = -a< 0$. Let $\xi^+ = \max (0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sergey Foss , Timofej Prasolov

We investigate the geometric properties of the convex hull over $n$ successive positions of a planar random walk, with a symmetric continuous jump distribution. We derive the large $n$ asymptotic behavior of the mean perimeter. In addition,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 Denis S. Grebenkov , Yann Lanoiselée , Satya N. Majumdar

A random walk with counterbalanced steps is a process of partial sums $\check S(n)=\check X_1+ \cdots + \check X_n$ whose steps $\check X_n$ are given recursively as follows. For each $n\geq 2$, with a fixed probability $p$, $\check X_n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Jean Bertoin