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Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

Numerical models are increasingly used for non-invasive diagnosis and treatment planning in coronary artery disease, where service-based technologies have proven successful in identifying hemodynamically significant and hence potentially…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-05-01 Jongmin Seo , Casey Fleeter , Andrew M. Kahn , Alison L. Marsden , Daniele E. Schiavazzi

Owing to their periodic and intricate configurations, metamaterials engineered for acoustic and elastic wave control inevitably suffer from manufacturing anomalies and deviate from theoretical dispersion predictions. This work exploits the…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 H. Al Ba'ba'a , S. Nandi , T. Singh , M. Nouh

This paper is concerned with difficulties encountered by engineers when they attempt to predict the orientation of fibers in the creation of injection molded plastic parts. It is known that Jeffery's equation, which was designed to model a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-14 Stephen Montgomery-Smith

Surrogate models are statistical or conceptual approximations for more complex simulation models. In this context, it is crucial to propagate the uncertainty induced by limited simulation budget and surrogate approximation error to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Philipp Reiser , Javier Enrique Aguilar , Anneli Guthke , Paul-Christian Bürkner

The performance of organic optoelectronic devices is critically dependent on how molecules orient within organic thin films. Yet, standard characterization techniques only reveal the first and second moments of the molecular orientation…

Biomolecules exhibit conformational fluctuations near equilibrium states, inducing uncertainty in various biological properties in a dynamic way. We have developed a general method to quantify the uncertainty of target properties induced by…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-02 Huan Lei , Xiu Yang , Bin Zheng , Guang Lin , Nathan A. Baker

Background: Uncertainty quantification for nuclear theories has gained a more prominent role in the field, with more and more groups attempting to understand the uncertainties on their calculations. However, recent studies have shown that…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-12-03 M. Catacora-Rios , G. B. King , A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

A new multifidelity method is developed for nonlinear orbit uncertainty propagation. This approach guarantees improved computational efficiency and limited accuracy losses compared to fully high-fidelity counterparts. The initial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Matteo Losacco , Francesco Sanfedino

Proper quantification and propagation of uncertainties in computational simulations are of critical importance. This issue is especially challenging for CFD applications. A particular obstacle for uncertainty quantifications in CFD problems…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-04-10 Jian-xun Wang , Christopher J. Roy , Heng Xiao

Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Hoffmann , Ines Fortmeier , Clemens Elster

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

We propose an efficient surrogate modeling technique for uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a well-known dimension-adaptive collocation scheme. We improve the scheme by enhancing sparse polynomial surrogates with conformal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Niklas Georg , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Robust optimization is a method for optimization under uncertainties in engineering systems and designs for applications ranging from aeronautics to nuclear. In a robust design process, parameter variability (or uncertainty) is incorporated…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-17 Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Kazuma Kobayashi , Syed Alam

A geometric approach to formulate the uncertainty principle between quantum observables acting on an $N$-dimensional Hilbert space is proposed. We consider the fidelity between a density operator associated with a quantum system and a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 G. M. Bosyk , T. M. Osán , P. W. Lamberti , M. Portesi

We build surrogate models for dynamic 3D subsurface single-phase flow problems with multiple vertical producing wells. The surrogate model provides efficient pressure estimation of the entire formation at any timestep given a stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Rui Xu , Dongxiao Zhang , Nanzhe Wang

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

The study of complex systems is often based on computationally intensive, high-fidelity, simulations. To build confidence in the prediction accuracy of such simulations, the impact of uncertainties in model inputs on the quantities of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-19 Lluis Jofre , Gianluca Geraci , Hillary Fairbanks , Alireza Doostan , Gianluca Iaccarino

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-04 Peter Kovesarki , Ian C. Brock