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Machine learning models are omnipresent for predictions on big data. One challenge of deployed models is the change of the data over time, a phenomenon called concept drift. If not handled correctly, a concept drift can lead to significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Lucas Baier , Marcel Hofmann , Niklas Kühl , Marisa Mohr , Gerhard Satzger

In the realm of time series analysis, tackling the phenomenon of concept drift poses a significant challenge. Concept drift -- characterized by the evolving statistical properties of time series data, affects the reliability and accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Kunpeng Xu , Lifei Chen , Shengrui Wang

Online Time Series Forecasting (OTSF) requires models to continuously adapt to concept drift. However, existing methods often treat concept drift as a monolithic phenomenon. To address this limitation, we first redefine concept drift by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Seungha Hong , Sukang Chae , Suyeon Kim , Sanghwan Jang , Hwanjo Yu

Classifiers operating in a dynamic, real world environment, are vulnerable to adversarial activity, which causes the data distribution to change over time. These changes are traditionally referred to as concept drift, and several approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Tegjyot Singh Sethi , Mehmed Kantardzic

Accurate spatial-temporal traffic flow forecasting is crucial in aiding traffic managers in implementing control measures and assisting drivers in selecting optimal travel routes. Traditional deep-learning based methods for traffic flow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Pengxin Guo , Pengrong Jin , Ziyue Li , Lei Bai , Yu Zhang

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption. However, this assumption is often violated in online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-07 Jungbin Jun , Ilsang Ohn

Data in the real world often has an evolving distribution. Thus, machine learning models trained on such data get outdated over time. This phenomenon is called model drift. Knowledge of this drift serves two purposes: (i) Retain an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Pranoy Panda , Kancheti Sai Srinivas , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Gaurav Sinha

We present a novel online learning-based approach for concept drift adaptation in optical network failure detection, achieving up to a 70% improvement in performance over conventional static models while maintaining low latency.

Flight delays impose challenges that impact any flight transportation system. Predicting when they are going to occur is an important way to mitigate this issue. However, the behavior of the flight delay system varies through time. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Lucas Giusti , Leonardo Carvalho , Antonio Tadeu Gomes , Rafaelli Coutinho , Jorge Soares , Eduardo Ogasawara

Machine learning models nowadays play a crucial role for many applications in business and industry. However, models only start adding value as soon as they are deployed into production. One challenge of deployed models is the effect of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Lucas Baier , Vincent Kellner , Niklas Kühl , Gerhard Satzger

Machine learning has demonstrated transformative potential for database operations, such as query optimization and in-database data analytics. However, dynamic database environments, characterized by frequent updates and evolving data…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jiaqi Zhu , Shaofeng Cai , Yanyan Shen , Gang Chen , Fang Deng , Beng Chin Ooi

In the classic machine learning framework, models are trained on historical data and used to predict future values. It is assumed that the data distribution does not change over time (stationarity). However, in real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Mansour Zoubeirou A Mayaki , Michel Riveill

While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Ziheng Peng , Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Linxiao Yang , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun

The distribution of streaming data often changes over time as conditions change, a phenomenon known as concept drift. Only a subset of previous experience, collected in similar conditions, is relevant to learning an accurate classifier for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Ben Halstead , Yun Sing Koh , Patricia Riddle , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Albert Bifet

Machine learning approaches for image classification have led to impressive advances in that field. For example, convolutional neural networks are able to achieve remarkable image classification accuracy across a wide range of applications…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Christopher T. Franck , Anne R. Driscoll , Zoe Szajnfarber , William H. Woodall

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

Concept Drift has been extensively studied within the context of Stream Learning. However, it is often assumed that the deployed model's predictions play no role in the concept drift the system experiences. Closer inspection reveals that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Brandon Gower-Winter , Georg Krempl , Sergey Dragomiretskiy , Tineke Jelsma , Arno Siebes

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Machine learning (ML) algorithms deployed in real-world environments are often faced with the challenge of adapting models to concept drift, where the task data distributions are shifting over time. The problem becomes even more difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Adam Piaseczny , Md Kamran Chowdhury Shisher , Shiqiang Wang , Christopher G. Brinton

Drift in machine learning refers to the phenomenon where the statistical properties of data or context, in which the model operates, change over time leading to a decrease in its performance. Therefore, maintaining a constant monitoring…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Saeed Khaki , Akhouri Abhinav Aditya , Zohar Karnin , Lan Ma , Olivia Pan , Samarth Marudheri Chandrashekar