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In high-stakes applications, predictive models must not only produce accurate predictions but also quantify and communicate their uncertainty. Reject-option prediction addresses this by allowing the model to abstain when prediction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Vojtech Franc , Jakub Paplham

This work advances the theoretical foundations of reservoir computing (RC) by providing a unified treatment of fading memory and the echo state property (ESP) in both deterministic and stochastic settings. We investigate state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Juan-Pablo Ortega , Florian Rossmannek

Classifier models are prevalent in natural language processing (NLP), often with high accuracy. Yet in real world settings, human-in-the-loop systems can foster trust in model outputs and even higher performance. Selective Prediction (SP)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zhaohui Li , Rebecca J. Passonneau

Exact inference in the linear regression model with spike and slab priors is often intractable. Expectation propagation (EP) can be used for approximate inference. However, the regular sequential form of EP (R-EP) may fail to converge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-13 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Classic problem-space theory models problem solving as a navigation through a structured space of states, operators, goals, and constraints. Systems Engineering (SE) employs analogous constructs (functional analysis, operational analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-05 Mayuranath SureshKumar , Hanumanthrao Kannan

Continual learning is often motivated by the idea, known as the big world hypothesis, that "the world is bigger" than the agent. Recent problem formulations capture this idea by explicitly constraining an agent relative to the environment.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Alex Lewandowski , Adtiya A. Ramesh , Edan Meyer , Dale Schuurmans , Marlos C. Machado

Selective prediction aims to learn a reliable model that abstains from making predictions when uncertain. These predictions can then be deferred to humans for further evaluation. As an everlasting challenge for machine learning, in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Jiefeng Chen , Jinsung Yoon , Sayna Ebrahimi , Sercan Arik , Somesh Jha , Tomas Pfister

We investigate the problem of autonomous object classification and semantic SLAM, which in general exhibits a tight coupling between classification, metric SLAM and planning under uncertainty. We contribute a unified framework for inference…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Vladimir Tchuiev , Vadim Indelman

There is now significant historical data available on decision making in organizations, consisting of the decision problem, what decisions were made, and how desirable the outcomes were. Using this data, it is possible to learn a surrogate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Olivier Francon , Santiago Gonzalez , Babak Hodjat , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen , Xin Qiu , Hormoz Shahrzad

How an agent can act optimally in stochastic, partially observable domains is a challenge problem, the standard approach to address this issue is to learn the domain model firstly and then based on the learned model to find the (near)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Yunlong Liu , Jianyang Zheng

Spatio-temporal predictive learning plays a crucial role in self-supervised learning, with wide-ranging applications across a diverse range of fields. Previous approaches for temporal modeling fall into two categories: recurrent-based and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Cheng Tan , Jue Wang , Zhangyang Gao , Siyuan Li , Stan Z. Li

Predictive processing has become an influential framework in cognitive sciences. This framework turns the traditional view of perception upside down, claiming that the main flow of information processing is realized in a top-down…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Alejandra Ciria , Guido Schillaci , Giovanni Pezzulo , Verena V. Hafner , Bruno Lara

In this work, we present a new planning formalism called Expectation-Aware planning for decision making with humans in the loop where the human's expectations about an agent may differ from the agent's own model. We show how this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Sarath Sreedharan , Tathagata Chakraborti , Christian Muise , Subbarao Kambhampati

Mobile robots rely on maps to navigate through an environment. In the absence of any map, the robots must build the map online from partial observations as they move in the environment. Traditional methods build a map using only direct…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Vishnu Dutt Sharma

Active inference, a neurally-inspired model for inferring actions based on the free energy principle (FEP), has been proposed as a unifying framework for understanding perception, action, and learning in the brain. Active inference has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Prashant Rangarajan , Rajesh P. N. Rao

A long-standing challenge in Reinforcement Learning is enabling agents to learn a model of their environment which can be transferred to solve other problems in a world with the same underlying rules. One reason this is difficult is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Kai Olav Ellefsen , Jim Torresen

Automatically reasoning about future human behaviors is a difficult problem but has significant practical applications to assistive systems. Part of this difficulty stems from learning systems' inability to represent all kinds of behaviors.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Jiaqi Guan , Ye Yuan , Kris M. Kitani , Nicholas Rhinehart

In the field of knowledge representation, the considered epistemic states are often based on propositional interpretations, also called worlds. E.g., epistemic states of agents can be modelled by ranking functions or total preorders on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Jonas Haldimann , Christoph Beierle

In this work, we propose an attention-based deep reinforcement learning approach to address the adaptive informative path planning (IPP) problem in 3D space, where an aerial robot equipped with a downward-facing sensor must dynamically…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Rui Zhao , Xingjian Zhang , Yuhong Cao , Yizhuo Wang , Guillaume Sartoretti

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei