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Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

With industrial and technological development and the increasing demand for electric power, wind energy has gradually become the fastest-growing and most environmentally friendly new energy source. Nevertheless, wind power generation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Yasmeen Aldossary , Nabil Hewahi , Abdulla Alasaadi

This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-07 Zhanhong Jiang , Chao Liu , Adedotun Akintayo , Gregor Henze , Soumik Sarkar

Many consequential real-world systems, like wind fields and ocean currents, are dynamic and hard to model. Learning their governing dynamics remains a central challenge in scientific machine learning. Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Yujin Kim , Sarah Dean

Understanding complex spatial dependency structures is a crucial consideration when attempting to build a modeling framework for wind speeds. Ideally, wind speed modeling should be very efficient since the wind speed can vary significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Matthew de Bie , Janet van Niekerk , Andriette Bekker

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

We propose a statistical space-time model for predicting atmospheric wind speed based on deterministic numerical weather predictions and historical measurements. We consider a Gaussian multivariate space-time framework that combines…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-21 Julie Bessac , Emil Mihai Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

The prediction of near surface wind speed is becoming increasingly vital for the operation of electrical energy grids as the capacity of installed wind power grows. The majority of predictive wind speed modeling has focused on point-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Jianan Cao , David J. Farnham , Upmanu Lall

We propose a parsimonious spatiotemporal model for time series data on a spatial grid. Our model is capable of dealing with high-dimensional time series data that may be collected at hundreds of locations and capturing the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Yuan Yan , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Marc G. Genton

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

In this paper, the variable wind power is incorporated into the dynamic model for long-term stability analysis. A theory-based method is proposed for power systems with wind power to conduct long-term stability analysis, which is able to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu , Tao Wang

Integrating wind power into the grid is challenging because of its random nature. Integration is facilitated with accurate short-term forecasts of wind power. The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Borhan M. Sanandaji , Akin Tascikaraoglu , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

The prediction of wind in terms of both wind speed and direction, which has a crucial impact on many real-world applications like aviation and wind power generation, is extremely challenging due to the high stochasticity and complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Fanling Huang , Yangdong Deng

State estimation is required whenever we deal with high-dimensional dynamical systems, as the complete measurement is often unavailable. It is key to gaining insight, performing control or optimizing design tasks. Most deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Yash Kumar , Souvik Chakraborty

Wind speed is a powerful source of renewable energy, which can be used as an alternative to the non-renewable resources for production of electricity. Renewable sources are clean, infinite and do not impact the environment negatively during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Swayamjit Saha

Leveraging spatio-temporal correlations among wind farms can significantly enhance the accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power forecasting. However, the complex and dynamic nature of these correlations presents significant modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Xiaochong Dong , Xuemin Zhang , Ming Yang , Shengwei Mei

The share of wind power in fuel mixes worldwide has increased considerably. The main ingredient when deriving wind power predictions are wind speed data; the closer to the wind farms, the better they forecast the power supply. The current…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-17 Mihaela Puica , Fred Espen Benth

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…