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Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

The majority of data assimilation (DA) methods in the geosciences are based on Gaussian assumptions. While these assumptions facilitate efficient algorithms, they cause analysis biases and subsequent forecast degradations. Non-parametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Hristo G. Chipilski

Conic optimization plays a crucial role in many machine learning (ML) problems. However, practical algorithms for conic constrained ML problems with large datasets are often limited to specific use cases, as stochastic algorithms for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Chuan He , Zhanwang Deng

Motivated by the conspicuous use of momentum-based algorithms in deep learning, we study a nonsmooth nonconvex stochastic heavy ball method and show its convergence. Our approach builds upon semialgebraic (definable) assumptions commonly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Tam Le

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

In this work we develop a stochastic algorithm to integrate the Cahn-Hilliard equations. The algorithm is based on Gillespie's stochastic simulation algorithm, also known as kinetic Monte Carlo. The deterministic integration of the phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-14 Qianran Yu , Nicholas Julian , Jaime Marian , Enrique Martinez

Consistent state estimation is challenging, especially under the epistemic uncertainties arising from learned (nonlinear) dynamic and observation models. In this work, we propose a set-based estimation algorithm, named Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-28 Shen Li , Theodoros Stouraitis , Michael Gienger , Sethu Vijayakumar , Julie A. Shah

In this technical note, a recursive set-membership filtering algorithm for discrete-time nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown but bounded process and measurement noises is proposed. The nonlinear dynamics is represented in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Diganta Bhattacharjee , Kamesh Subbarao

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

Stochastic information flow (SIF) quantifies information flow at the trajectory level, overcoming the limitations of conventional symmetric, ensemble-averaged measures. However, computational difficulties have hindered the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-14 Yongjae Oh , Euijoon Kwon , Yongjoo Baek

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

Simultaneous Input and State Estimation (SISE) enables the reconstruction of unknown inputs and internal states in dynamical systems, with applications in fault detection, robotics, and control. While various methods exist for linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Rodrigo A. González , Angel L. Cedeño

On-line estimation plays an important role in process control and monitoring. Obtaining a theoretical solution to the simultaneous state-parameter estimation problem for non-linear stochastic systems involves solving complex…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

This paper proposes a new framework to compute finite-horizon safety guarantees for discrete-time piece-wise affine systems with stochastic noise of unknown distributions. The approach is based on a novel approach to synthesise a stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Licio Romao , Simeon C. Calvert , Alessandro Abate , Luca Laurenti

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster