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Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

This paper presents an Improved Bayesian Optimization (IBO) algorithm to solve complex high-dimensional epidemic models' optimal control solution. Evaluating the total objective function value for disease control models with hundreds of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Yuyang Chen , Kaiming Bi , Chih-Hang J. Wu , David Ben-Arieh , Ashesh Sinha

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective paradigm for the optimization of expensive-to-sample systems. Standard BO learns the performance of a system $f(x)$ by using a Gaussian Process (GP) model; this treats the system as a black-box and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-03 Leonardo D. González , Victor M. Zavala

Bayesian optimization (BO) has gained attention as an efficient algorithm for black-box optimization of expensive-to-evaluate systems, where the BO algorithm iteratively queries the system and suggests new trials based on a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Eike Cramer , Luis Kutschat , Oliver Stollenwerk , Joel A. Paulson , Alexander Mitsos

Parameter calibration is essential for reducing uncertainty and improving predictive fidelity in physics-based models, yet it is often limited by the high computational cost of model evaluations. Bayesian calibration methods provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Maike F. Holthuijzen , Atlanta Chakraborty , Elizabeth Krath , Tommie Catanach

A body of work has been done to automate machine learning algorithm to highlight the importance of model choice. Automating the process of choosing the best forecasting model and its corresponding parameters can result to improve a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nadhir Hassen , Irina Rish

Many engineering problems involve the optimization of computationally expensive models for which derivative information is not readily available. The Bayesian optimization (BO) framework is a particularly promising approach for solving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Joel A. Paulson , Congwen Lu

Several fundamental problems in science and engineering consist of global optimization tasks involving unknown high-dimensional (black-box) functions that map a set of controllable variables to the outcomes of an expensive experiment.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Michael Joly , Robert Yu , Soumalya Sarkar , Paris Perdikaris

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

Bayesian optimisation (BO) uses probabilistic surrogate models - usually Gaussian processes (GPs) - for the optimisation of expensive black-box functions. At each BO iteration, the GP hyperparameters are fit to previously-evaluated data by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 George De Ath , Richard Everson , Jonathan Fieldsend

Bayesian optimization (BO) is one of the most powerful strategies to solve computationally expensive-to-evaluate blackbox optimization problems. However, BO methods are conventionally used for optimization problems of small dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Rémy Priem , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli , Sylvain Dubreuil , Paul Saves

We propose to use Bayesian optimization (BO) to improve the efficiency of the design selection process in clinical trials. BO is a method to optimize expensive black-box functions, by using a regression as a surrogate to guide the search.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Jakob Richter , Tim Friede , Jörg Rahnenführer

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions by combining prior knowledge with ongoing function evaluations. BO constructs a probabilistic surrogate model of the objective function given the covariates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Roi Naveiro , Becky Tang

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sequential approach for optimizing black-box objective functions using zeroth-order noisy observations. In BO, Gaussian processes (GPs) are employed as probabilistic surrogate models to estimate the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Dongwon Kim , Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Joonhyuk Kang , Osvaldo Simeone

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a model-based approach for gradient-free black-box function optimization. Typically, BO is powered by a Gaussian process (GP), whose algorithmic complexity is cubic in the number of evaluations. Hence, GP-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-11 Valerio Perrone , Rodolphe Jenatton , Matthias Seeger , Cedric Archambeau

Bayesian optimization (BO) has established itself as a leading strategy for efficiently optimizing expensive-to-evaluate functions. Existing BO methods mostly rely on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models and are not applicable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan

Motivated by the growing need for black-box optimization and data privacy, we introduce a collaborative Bayesian optimization (BO) framework that addresses both of these challenges. In this framework agents work collaboratively to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Donglin Zhan , Haoting Zhang , Rhonda Righter , Zeyu Zheng , James Anderson

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a widely used approach for blackbox optimization that leverages a Gaussian process (GP) model and an acquisition function to guide future sampling. While effective in low-dimensional settings, BO faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Pavankumar Koratikere , Leifur Leifsson

Gaussian process (GP) based Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions efficiently. The practical performance and theoretical guarantees of this approach depend on having the correct GP hyperparameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Huong Ha , Vu Nguyen , Hung Tran-The , Hongyu Zhang , Xiuzhen Zhang , Anton van den Hengel
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