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Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

In this work, we introduce metrics to evaluate the use of simplified time series in the context of interpretability of a TSC -- a Time Series Classifier. Such simplifications are important because time series data, in contrast to text and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Brigt Håvardstun , Felix Marti-Perez , Cèsar Ferri , Jan Arne Telle

In this paper we propose statistical inference tools for the covariance operators of functional time series in the two sample and change point problem. In contrast to most of the literature the focus of our approach is not testing the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Holger Dette , Kevin Kokot

Method comparisons are essential to provide recommendations and guidance for applied researchers, who often have to choose from a plethora of available approaches. While many comparisons exist in the literature, these are often not neutral…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Sarah Friedrich , Tim Friede

This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Ben D. Fulcher

There are many atomistic simulation methods with very different costs, accuracies, transferabilities, and numbers of empirical parameters. I show how statistical model selection can compare these methods fairly, even when they are very…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Jonathan E. Moussa

Feature selection is an important and active field of research in machine learning and data science. Our goal in this paper is to propose a collection of synthetic datasets that can be used as a common reference point for feature selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Firuz Kamalov , Hana Sulieman , Aswani Kumar Cherukuri

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Sufficient conditions for the design of a simple class of interval observers for linear impulsive systems subject to minimum and range dwell-time constraints are obtained and formulated in terms of infinite-dimensional linear programs. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-30 Corentin Briat , Mustafa Khammash

The process of collecting and organizing sets of observations represents a common theme throughout the history of science. However, despite the ubiquity of scientists measuring, recording, and analyzing the dynamics of different processes,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-23 Ben D. Fulcher , Max A. Little , Nick S. Jones

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

It is well known that model selection via cross validation can be biased for time series models. However, many researchers have argued that this bias does not apply when using cross-validation with vector autoregressions (VAR) or with time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Amaze Lusompa

In recent years, there have been unprecedented technological advances in sensor technology, and sensors have become more affordable than ever. Thus, sensor-driven data collection is increasingly becoming an attractive and practical option…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Alireza Abdoli

A time series consists of a series of values or events obtained over repeated measurements in time. Analysis of time series represents and important tool in many application areas, such as stock market analysis, process and quality control,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Vladimir Kurbalija , Miloš Radovanović , Zoltan Geler , Mirjana Ivanović

Diffusion models have been widely used in time series and spatio-temporal data, enhancing generative, inferential, and downstream capabilities. These models are applied across diverse fields such as healthcare, recommendation, climate,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yiyuan Yang , Ming Jin , Haomin Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Lintao Ma , Yi Wang , Chenghao Liu , Bin Yang , Zenglin Xu , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen

The machine learning community has recently devoted much attention to the problem of inferring causal relationships from statistical data. Most of this work has focused on uncovering connections among scalar random variables. We generalize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-10 Doris Entner , Patrik O. Hoyer

In recent years, the modeling and analysis of interval-valued time series have garnered significant attention in the fields of econometrics and statistics. However, the existing literature primarily focuses on regression tasks while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Wan Tian , Zhongfeng Qin

Multidimensional time series are sequences of real valued vectors. They occur in different areas, for example handwritten characters, GPS tracking, and gestures of modern virtual reality motion controllers. Within these areas, a common task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Jörg P. Bachmann , Johann-Christoph Freytag

Over the past decades, linear mixed models have attracted considerable attention in various fields of applied statistics. They are popular whenever clustered, hierarchical or longitudinal data are investigated. Nonetheless, statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Katarzyna Reluga , María José Lombardía , Stefan Andreas Sperlich