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We propose the Linearly Adaptive Cross Entropy Loss function. This is a novel measure derived from the information theory. In comparison to the standard cross entropy loss function, the proposed one has an additional term that depends on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Jae Wan Shim

We introduce a new surrogate loss function called orbit loss in the structured prediction framework, which has good theoretical and practical advantages. While the orbit loss is not convex, it has a simple analytical gradient and a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-10 Danny Karmon , Joseph Keshet

Conformal prediction (CP) has become a cornerstone of distribution-free uncertainty quantification, conventionally evaluated by its coverage and interval length. This work critically examines the sufficiency of these standard metrics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Yizhou Min , Yizhou Lu , Lanqi Li , Zhen Zhang , Jiaye Teng

We present a new a priori analysis of a class of collocation methods for parabolic PDEs that rely only on pointwise data of force term, boundary data, and initial data. Under Besov regularity assumptions, we characterize the optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Shiv Mishra , Arbaz Khan

Many applications require statistically valid inference across many related tasks, while using only a handful of high-quality labels per hypothesis. In AI evaluation, these tasks may correspond to model behaviors across prompts, subgroups,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Nicolas Emmenegger , Ellery Stahler , Chara Podimata

This paper proposes a new metric to measure the calibration error of probabilistic binary classifiers, called test-based calibration error (TCE). TCE incorporates a novel loss function based on a statistical test to examine the extent to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Takuo Matsubara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

Microgrids and, in general, active distribution networks require ultra-short-term prediction, i.e., for sub-second time scales, for specific control decisions. Conventional forecasting methodologies are not effective at such time scales. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Plouton Grammatikos , Fabrizio Sossan , Jean-Yves Le Boudec , Mario Paolone

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

Learning to predict multi-label outputs is challenging, but in many problems there is a natural metric on the outputs that can be used to improve predictions. In this paper we develop a loss function for multi-label learning, based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Charlie Frogner , Chiyuan Zhang , Hossein Mobahi , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Tomaso Poggio

In this paper we derive a Probably Approxilmately Correct(PAC)-Bayesian error bound for linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic dynamical systems with inputs. Such bounds are widespread in machine learning, and they are useful for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafael Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

We study the problem of regression with interval targets, where only upper and lower bounds on target values are available in the form of intervals. This problem arises when the exact target label is expensive or impossible to obtain, due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Rattana Pukdee , Ziqi Ke , Chirag Gupta

We present PPI++: a computationally lightweight methodology for estimation and inference based on a small labeled dataset and a typically much larger dataset of machine-learning predictions. The methods automatically adapt to the quality of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-27 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , John C. Duchi , Tijana Zrnic

Designing an effective loss function plays a crucial role in training deep recommender systems. Most existing works often leverage a predefined and fixed loss function that could lead to suboptimal recommendation quality and training…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Xiangyu Zhao , Haochen Liu , Wenqi Fan , Hui Liu , Jiliang Tang , Chong Wang

Data augmentation has been actively studied for robust neural networks. Most of the recent data augmentation methods focus on augmenting datasets during the training phase. At the testing phase, simple transformations are still widely used…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Ildoo Kim , Younghoon Kim , Sungwoong Kim

With the increasing complexity of the traffic environment, the significance of safety perception in intelligent driving is intensifying. Traditional methods in the field of intelligent driving perception rely on deep learning, which suffers…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Haobo Yang , Shiyan Zhang , Zhuoyi Yang , Xinyu Zhang , Jilong Guo , Zongyou Yang , Jun Li

The aim of this paper is to propose a suitable method for constructing prediction intervals for the output of neural network models. To do this, we adapt the extremely randomized trees method originally developed for random forests to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-14 Tullio Mancini , Hector Calvo-Pardo , Jose Olmo

Under-approximations of reachable sets and tubes have been receiving growing research attention due to their important roles in control synthesis and verification. Available under-approximation methods applicable to continuous-time linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-15 Mohamed Serry , Jun Liu

Recurrent neural networks and sequence to sequence models require a predetermined length for prediction output length. Our model addresses this by allowing the network to predict a variable length output in inference. A new loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Mark Harmon , Diego Klabjan

Temporal difference (TD) learning is a foundational algorithm in reinforcement learning (RL). For nearly forty years, TD learning has served as a workhorse for applied RL as well as a building block for more complex and specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Hwanwoo Kim , Panos Toulis , Eric Laber

Ongoing developments in neural network models are continually advancing the state of the art in terms of system accuracy. However, the predicted labels should not be regarded as the only core output; also important is a well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-08 Gil Keren , Nicholas Cummins , Björn Schuller